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Paul vs Danis Fight Prediction, Odds & FAQ: Paul Stands Tall
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
boxing
MF & DAZN: X Series – The Prime Card is the next major celebrity boxing event, taking place on Saturday, Oct. 14. Although a lot of fans are anticipating the KSI vs. Tyson Fury main event, another chunk is tuning in for the eight-round bout between YouTuber-turned-WWE-superstar Logan Paul and former MMA competitors Dillon Danis.
While this fight seemed ordinary at first, it quickly became personal when Danis took the rivalry to social media and began targeting Paul’s fiancée Nina Agdal. After the bad blood spilled over at the press conference, this fight can’t come soon enough for fans eager to see how this showdown unfolds.
In the meantime, this article addresses your Paul vs Danis betting needs. From the latest odds and an early prediction, here’s everything you need to know ahead of Saturday night’s scrap.
Paul vs Danis Odds
Boxing odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, Oct. 13 at 3:23 p.m. ET.
Moneyline
- Logan Paul -450
- Dillon Danis +360
Will the Fight Go the Distance?
- +160
- -200
Round Total
- Over 4.5 Rounds (+120)
- Under 4.5 Rounds (-140)
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Paul vs Danis Tale of the Tape
Logan Paul — Dillon Danis
- Record: 0-1 — 2-0 (MMA)
- Height: 6’2” — 6’0”
- Reach: 76” — 72”
- Weight: 189.5 lbs — 175 lbs
- Age: 28 — 30
- Fighting Stance: Orthodox — Southpaw
- Knockouts: 0 — 0 (MMA)
Paul vs Danis Fight Preview
As the only competitor with boxing experience in this fight, I’m not surprised to see Paul as BetOnline’s -500 moneyline favorite. His odds for victory carry an implied win probability of 81.8%.
After making a name for himself on YouTube, Paul gave boxing a shot when he fought fellow social media star KSI in an amateur fight in 2018, resulting in a six-round draw. The duo had a professional rematch just over one year later, but it didn’t go as Paul planned as KSI won via split decision.
The Westlake, OH native then stepped away from boxing for nearly two years before taking on the legendary Floyd Mayweather Jr. in June 2021. Although the exhibition match wasn’t the most competitive fight, Paul still hung in there as the meeting ended in a no-contest.
Danis, meanwhile, has much more combat sports experience than Paul.
The 30-year-old made a name for himself due to his no-gi jiu-jitsu and grappling experience, going 18-16 across 34 matchups. Danis’ success caught the eye of Conor McGregor, who offered the latter a spot in his training camp.
Danis also fought twice under the Bellator umbrella, picking up first-round submission victories over Kyle Walker and Max Humphrey. Having said that, it’s now been four years since “El Jefe” last competed in a combat sports environment.
Furthermore, Danis doesn’t have any boxing experience. His MMA career was based on grappling, making it interesting to see how he handles the upcoming boxing matchup.
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Paul vs Danis Betting Trends and Markets
Unfortunately, there isn’t a ton of value on the Paul vs. Danis betting line unless you’re banking on an upset. Having said that, BetOnline has other markets that provide more valuable options.
For instance, BetOnline is favoring the Under on the 4.5-round total at -140 odds. This likely has to do with Danis’ lack of boxing experience, as well as the fact that hasn’t had any sort of fight in over four years, leaving his cardio in question.
With the sportsbook also favoring that this fight won’t go the distance (-200), Paul is favored to win by KO/TKO at -165 odds. While he’s yet to win by knockout, his boxing experience and the size advantage put him in a good place to finish Danis.
If you’re looking for an even bigger win, Paul is most likely to land a knockout punch in the third round (+500).
Paul vs Danis Prediction and Best Bets
Even though Danis has the combat sports experience advantage, I’m taking Paul to win in Manchester. He’s been boxing for the last five years and his bigger frame will help him survive whatever Danis has to offer, even if it isn’t much given his grappling preference.
I’m also picturing Paul winning via KO/TKO. Danis’ remarks over the last few months have lit a fire under the favorite, especially since Nina Agdal requested a restraining order against the former. Paul will do everything in his power to
Considering how Danis hasn’t fought in four years, I don’t see him surviving this one.
Paul vs Danis Boxing FAQ
When is Logan Paul vs Dillon Danis?
- MF & DAZN: X Series – The Prime Card will take place on Saturday, October 14, 2023.
Where is Logan Paul vs Dillon Danis?
- MF & DAZN: X Series – The Prime Card will take place at Manchester Arena in Manchester, England.
What time does Logan Paul vs Dillon Danis start?
- MF & DAZN: X Series – The Prime Card Start Time: 2 p.m. ET
- Paul vs. Danis Ringwalks: 4 p.m. ET
How can I watch Logan Paul vs Dillon Danis?
- Paul vs. Danis can be viewed in its entirety on DAZN and other PPV providers.
How can I bet on Logan Paul vs Dillon Danis?
- All of the top online sports betting sites will have odds on this fight, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for boxing betting enthusiasts:
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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