BC Classic 1 Week Away: Keeneland Fayette Stakes Analysis

One week from Saturday Keeneland will be hosting Breeders’ Cup. A week ahead of the Classic they will run the Fayette Stakes with some solid talent including First Captain.

Keeneland- Race 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; $43k Maiden Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

• #2 JOAN'S WAY (8-5) gets the top selection. She has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
• #3 ALSANAH (3-1) goes out for the Moquett barn and gets Gaffalione in the irons.
• #6 RENAE NAE (4-1) debuts here and has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
• #4 PACIFIC GROVE (50-1) is a price horse who probably has 0 chance to win, but but could cause havoc in the exotics.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 6 – 4

Keeneland- Race 2

Post: 1:32 PM ET; $52k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

• #4 DALLAS VOLUNTEER (5-2) is the top pick. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one seems to fit well enough here.
• #8 BIG JAVA (4-1) has the top overall power rating in the group. This one looks to be the class of the field.
• #1 BAYSHORE FOXES (15-1) is a price horse and isn't without hope. She could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end. This one seems to fit well enough on class.
• #7 CANDY KICK (7-2) has been running against really good horses.

Selections: 4 – 8 – 1 – 7

Keeneland- Race 3

Post: 2:04 PM ET; $130k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 7

• #3 LE DA VIDA (3-1) looks best here. She shouldn't have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.
• #5 MARIAH'S PRINCESS (7-2) goes out for the Bauer barn and gets Garcia in the irons. This one comes into the race in really good form.
• #2 WILL'S SECRET (12-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one goes out for the Lukas barn and gets Saez in the irons.
• #6 ENVOUTANTE (2-1) has races good enough to beat this group. This one has been in great form of late.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 2 – 6

Keeneland- Race 4

Post: 2:36 PM ET; $110k Allowance going 7 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 9

• #7 OLGA ISABEL (9-5) gets the top selection. She has races good enough to beat this group.
• #2 HYPERSPORT (9-2) shouldn't have trouble with the 7 furlong distance. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
• #6 MY KENTUCKY GIRL (6-1) has to be respected going out for the combination of Wong and Landeros.
• #4 BRAGANZA (7-2) should improve off the first start and makes sense off the debut speed figure.

Selections: 7 – 2 – 6 – 4

Keeneland- Race 5

Post: 3:08 PM ET; $110k Allowance going 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 16

• #2 GENERAL JIM (7-2) is the top pick. He makes sense on speed figures. This one comes into the race in really good form.
• #6 OUR DREAM RYE'D (6-1) has races good enough to beat this group. This one looks to be the class of the field.
• #12 RARIFIED FLAIR (9-2) looks to be the class of the field. This one has been running really well recently.
• #16 TAPIT'S CONQUEST (5-2) shouldn't have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance. This one has races that could get the job done here.

Selections: 2 – 6 – 12- 16

Keeneland- Race 6

Post: 3:40 PM ET; $200k Bowman Mill S. going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 7

• #5 SUPER CHOW (5-1) looks best here. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
• #7 BOURBON BASH (4-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He has speed figures that would put him in the winner’s circle.
• #2 SIR LANCELOT (3-1) should be competitive in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures.
• #1 RAISE CAIN (7-2) has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.

Selections: 5 – 7 – 2 – 1

Keeneland- Race 7

Post: 4:12 PM ET; $100k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 16

• #3 SHIPMAN (10-1) is a price horse and gets the top selection. He comes into the race in really good form.
• #5 PLAUSIBLE DENILE (10-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
• #8 MONTAUK POINT (10-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures.
• #11 CAPE TRAFALGAR (3-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 8 – 11

Keeneland- Race 8

Post: 4:44 PM ET; $300k Bryan Station S. going 1 mile on turf; Entries: 16

• #2 BALNIKHOV (8-1) is the top pick. He runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here. This one makes sense on speed figures.
• #16 DAKOTA GOLD (8-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He seems to fit well enough here. This one was favored in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last year so you know there’s ability.
• #8 WIT (3-1) looks to be the class of the field. This one shouldn't have trouble with the 1 mil3 distance.
• #15 CHURCHTOWN (8-1) goes out for the Attfield barn and gets Gaffalione in the irons.

Selections: 2 – 16- 8 – 15

Keeneland- Race 9

Post: 5:16 PM ET; $350k Hagyard Fayette S. going 1 1/8 miles on dirt; Entries: 6

• #1 WEST WILL POWER (4-1) looks best here. He has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
• #4 FIRST CAPTAIN (6-5) appears to be a major player in this race. He looks to be the class of the field. This one projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.
• #3 FULSOME (3-1) has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts. This one projects to sit mid pack and will try to pick them all off late.
• #6 LAST SAMURAI (6-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He seems to fit well enough here. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 3 – 6

Keeneland- Race 10

Post: 5:48 PM ET; $140k Allowance going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 13

• #1 ILLEGAL SMILE (8-5) gets the top selection. She has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
• #6 SPICY MARG (7-2) should be competitive in this spot. She seems to fit well enough here.
• #11 SARA MIA (15-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. She may benefit from a hot pace up front. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
• #2 MINER'S QUEEN (15-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. She makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 11- 2

Betting News Breeders’ Cup Coverage

With the Breeders’ Cup on the horizon Betting News will have wall to wall coverage of the world championships of horse racing. The event will take place November 4th and 5th at Keeneland. Check back all week for features and analysis on what is sure to be a loaded 2 day card from Lexington.

Pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup can be found on their website.