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Churchill Downs Picks- 2024 Dogwood Stakes
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
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The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:45 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $50k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
- #1 GRACE ON GRACE (7-2): Top pick. Looks good based on the 67 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 LA BUKANA (9-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Running well of late.
- #11 STREAKING (4-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
- #7 LOVEBUG (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Should still have enough if the reserves are there in the final furlong.
Selections: 1 – 8 – 11 – 7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:17 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 BEST SELLER (2-1): Top pick. Top jock on the circuit with Gaffalione. Strong early pace figs.
- #2 ROSIE’S HALO (5-2): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Running well of late.
- #6 KLIMT’S MUSE (9-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Could wear these ones down late.
- #5 JUMP INTO THE FIRE (5-1): Major Player. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Jockey is having a great meet.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 6 – 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:47 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #3 PAYNE (3-1): Best bet of the card. Decent form of late. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #7 JACKMAN (6-1): Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape. Likely to get forward position.
- #4 FRIAR LAURENCE (6-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #6 SUMMER SPLASH (5-2): Contender. Should still have enough in the reserves if there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 7 – 4 – 6
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:17 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #3 MIGHTY MADISON (9-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 PISTOL (3-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione.
- #7 ERVADEAN (4-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #5 CHARRIERE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:48 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #3 STIGLETS (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Looks good based on the 72 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Could be ready for a top effort. Bet today’s live longshot on BetOnline.
- #8 LIMITED EDITION (8-1): Major Player. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione.
- #7 HEAVENVILLE (9-2): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup.
- #1 ROTHKO (7-2): Contender. Should still have enough in the reserves in the final furlong. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 1
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:21 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 5 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #6 JUSTIFREAK (5-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly.
- #3 ONE GIANT LEAP (7-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 PAY ZONE (4-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. May be able to find the right setup.
- #9 ALDER (5-1): Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 6 – 3 – 2 – 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:53 PM ET; Bourbon Flight Stakes $300k; 1 3/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 BATTEN DOWN (6-5): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
- #6 HADES (5-2): Contender. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony.
- #1 NEXT LEVEL (6-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
- #2 ELEPHANT’S EAR (8-1): Fringe Contender. McPeek is the leading trainer in the standings. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 3 – 6 – 1 – 2
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Stakes $300k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #5 MY MANE SQUEEZE (5-2): Top pick. Top 5 rider aboard. Looks good based on the 93 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #9 HALINA’S FORTE (9-2): Contender. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 FIBBER (3-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Has experience at this level.
- #7 MANAMA GOLD (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 5 – 9 – 2 – 7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:58 PM ET; Harrods Creek Stakes $300k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #1 JEFFERSON STREET (5-2): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip. Looks good based on the 98 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #6 ILLUMINARE (2-1): Major Player. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 VALENTINE CANDY (3-1): Major Player. Trainer, Asmussen, is having a lot of success this meeting. Having this jockey up can only help the chances.
- #3 HENRO (6-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 2 – 3
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:29 PM ET; Seneca Overnight Stakes $175k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #12 MISS JUSTIFY (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #4 LITTLE JAMIE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #8 CHATALAS (9-2): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #9 LIFE TALK (5-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.
Selections: 12 – 4 – 8 – 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:01 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.
- #16 UNO LE (5-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #5 SANG (5-1): Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #1 CRUISE MISSILE (9-2): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Trainer, McPeek, is having a lot of success this meeting.
- #14 BARBANERA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Jockey is having a great meet.
Selections: 16 – 5 – 1 – 14
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Don’t miss all the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races:
Friday
- Remington Park picks featuring the Remington Park Turf Sprint
Saturday
- Belmont at the Big A picks featuring the Grade 3 Nobel Damsel
- Churchill Downs picks featuring the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes
- Gulfstream Park picks featuring the Grade 3 Princess Rooney Invitational (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Parx Race Course picks featuring 1 Pennsylvania Derby and Grade 1 Cotillion
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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