Churchill Downs Picks: Stephen Foster

Full Card Analysis

Churchill Downs Picks- Stephen Foster 2024

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• #6 MONTEVALLO (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.
• #8 HITTING BOMBS (6-1): Major Player. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
• #5 I’M YOUR MAN (4-1): Major Player. Gaffalione makes this one a player. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
• #2 DR KRINGLE (3-1): Contender. Asmussen is the leading trainer in the standings. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.

Selections: 6 – 8 – 5 – 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:15 PM ET; Claiming $48k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #6 TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE (4-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Top trainer at the meet in Asmussen.
• #7 SAQEEL (7-2): Fringe Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #3 HAROLD’S CLOUD (3-1): Worth a look. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
• #4 HOME RUN TRICK (6-1): Fringe Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 3 – 4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:45 PM ET; Claiming $75k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

• #5 KAVOD (5-2): Best bet of the card. Could be ready for a top effort. Bet today’s best bet with industry leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #6 BACKSIDE BUZZ (5-1): Contender. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
• #7 CAN’T HUSH THIS (7-2): Worth a look. Has experience at this level.
• #1 ALL IN SYNC (15-1): Fringe Contender. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 7 – 1

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:15 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

• #8 CATHCART (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Top jock on the circuit with Gaffalione. Bet today’s live longshot on BetOnline.
• #10 MUGEN (4-1): Major Player. Asmussen is a good bet at the meet. Likely to get forward position.
• #5 MORINGA (15-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Should sit a good trip.
• #13 CALATHEA (15-1): Major Player. Jockey is having a great meet. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 10 – 5 – 13

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:45 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #6 SCALABLE (7-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 94 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
• #14 SIMPLY ENCHANTING (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #10 LEMON MUFFIN (3-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. May be able find the right setup.
• #16 STANDOUTSENSATION (6-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 6 – 14 – 10 – 16

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:19 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #2 ARROWTHEGREAT (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Should still have something in the tank late. Looks good based on the 94 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Bet today’s live longshot on BetOnline.
• #4 BIG BLUE LINE (7-2): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
• #5 HURRY HURRY (6-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level.
• #12 STOWAWAY (10-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 5 – 12

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:52 PM ET; Wise Dan Stakes $500k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 6 runners.

• #3 CHASING THE CROWN (3-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Race sets up perfectly.
• #6 EXAULTED (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Stamina to be in the mix late.
• #2 OTTOMAN FLEET (1-1): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
• #4 JOHNY’S FIREBALL (6-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Fasig-Tipton Fleur de Lis Stakes $500k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

• #4 SCYLLA (6-5): Top pick. Race may setup for this runner. Proven competitor at this configuration.
• #6 XIGERA (9-2): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well.
• #2 SHOTGUN HOTTIE (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #5 OCCULT (6-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 4 – 6 – 2 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:58 PM ET; American Derby $250k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

• #4 LAGYNOS (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should still have something in the tank late.
• #2 MOONLIGHT (8-1): Fringe Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #5 AGATE ROAD (7-2): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
• #1 GREEN LIGHT (3-1): Fringe Contender. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 4 – 2 – 5 – 1

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:31 PM ET; Kelly’s Landing Stakes $250k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #6 CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR (7-2): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Race sets up perfectly.
• #5 HOIST THE GOLD (3-1): Major Player. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony.
• #8 BANGO (6-1): Major Player. May be able find the right setup. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #1 ANARCHIST (6-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 6 – 5 – 8 – 1

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 6:03 PM ET; Stephen Foster Stakes $1000k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #3 WEST WILL POWER (7-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 94 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
• #6 LAST SAMURAI (9-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #4 SMILE HAPPY (3-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number.
• #9 ROCKET CAN (8-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 4 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:35 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #7 SUGAR COATED (3-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Race sets up perfectly.
• #11 TANGO TANGO TANGO (7-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Stamina to be in the mix late.
• #3 GIANT PENNY (5-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
• #10 VAGARIES (8-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 11 – 3 – 10