Kentucky Oaks Picks: Full Friday Card Analysis

Ahead of the Kentucky Derby, the Kentucky Oaks will run as the feature on Friday. Check out Kentucky Oaks picks for the whole Friday card.

Full Card Analysis

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Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 1

Post: 10:30 AM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 10

• #10 BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS (5-1) gets the top selection. She presents a dangerous threat to secure an early lead.
• #4 SUNDANCE FEATURE (4-1) is expected to improve from her first start and appears a fringe contender. With solid early pace figures, she could be a major player in this race.
• #8 NAUGHTY MISS (20-1) offers value as a price horse and could be best utilized in secondary positions on most tickets.
• #6 THOUGHTFUL (5-2) debuts here and is a strong candidate for inclusion in secondary positions. She will run under the combination of Cox and Geroux.

Selections: 10 – 4 – 8 – 6

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 2

Post: 11:00 AM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 12

• #9 SIDAMARA (4-1) is the top selection, having proven ability to handle these conditions in previous starts. She enters the race in good form.
• #6 WONDER RIDE (10-1) is a price horse and a major player in this race. With tactical speed, she can sit just off the leaders for a well-timed move.
• #10 STANDOUTSENSATION (5-1) is expected to be part of the early pace in this spot, going out for the Amoss barn with Saez in the irons.
• #3 SING A LITTLE SONG (20-1) is a longshot that will look to outrun the odds, entering the race in good form and considered the class of the field.

Selections: 9 – 6 – 10 – 3

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 3

Post: 11:30 AM ET; $134k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 13

• #11 EMPTY TOMB (8-1) gets the top selection, running races good enough to beat this group. He may benefit from a hot pace up front.
• #10 BRIGADIER GENERAL (6-1) is a solid contender, running consistently in recent starts and likely to handle the distance well.
• #5 INJUNCTION (5-1) will be competitive, representing the Vaccarezza barn with Rosario aboard. This contender boasts the top overall power rating in the group.
• #8 ARTHUR’S RIDE (3-1) is another competitive entry, proven to handle these conditions in previous starts and expected to be a strong contender.

Selections: 11 – 10 – 5 – 8

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 4

Post: 12:05 PM ET; $134k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 16

• #11 FREYDIS THE RED (9-2) is the top selection, expected to handle the distance well and make a late charge with a strong closing kick.
• #8 SCHOOL DANCE (10-1) is a price horse and a major player in this race, representing the class of the field.
• #4 MYRISKYAFFAIR (10-1) is another price horse with a mid-pack running style, she’s likely to make a strong late run.
• #1 SWOOP TO FINISH (10-1) is another square price that is competitive entry based on speed figures.

Selections: 11 – 8 – 4 – 1

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 5

Post: 12:43 PM ET; $1000k Fasig-Tipton La Troienne S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 7

• #4 IDIOMATIC (6-5) is the class of the field and earns the top selection. Bet today’s best Best Bet at BetUS.
• #5 PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS (5-2) will be competitive based on speed figures and is expected to hit the board.
• #6 XIGERA (3-1) is another competitive entry, expected to run a big race based on recent form.
• #7 DORTH VADER (12-1) isn’t without hope and should be in the first flight of runners with a chance late.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 6 – 7

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 6

Post: 1:26 PM ET; $400k Unbridled Sidney S. presented by Resolute Racing going 5 1/2 f on turf; Entries: 10

• #2 OVA CHARGED (7-2) is the top selection, expected to handle the distance well and likely to lead or be near the lead.
• #3 STONE SILENT (9-2) will be competitive, running consistently in recent starts under Lynch and Alvarado.
• #5 ELM DRIVE (5-1) has a shot in this race, likely to be in the first flight of runners with a chance late.
• #9 SECRET MONEY (8-1) is a fringe contender, expected to make a well-timed run from the second tier of runners.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 5 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 7

Post: 2:09 PM ET; $750k Alysheba S. presented by TwinSpires going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 10

• #6 TUMBARUMBA (8-1) gets the top selection, representing the class of the field.
• #3 FIRST MISSION (8-5) is a major player, likely to benefit from a hot pace up front and boasting the top overall power rating.
• #7 TAPIT TRICE (7-2) is another major contender, running races good enough to beat this group for the Pletcher barn.
• #2 STEAL SUNSHINE (10-1) is a price horse and a competitive entry, not likely to struggle with the distance.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 7 – 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 8

Post: 3:03 PM ET; $400k Modesty S. presented by Derby City Gaming & Hotel going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 12

• #5 MOUFFY (8-1) gets the top selection, expected to handle the distance well and coming in with solid recent form.
• #1 FAST AS FLIGHT (10-1) is a price horse and will be competitive based on consistent pace figures.
• #2 ASPEN GROVE (6-1) is expected to be competitive, running races good enough to beat this group.
• #7 JOIN THE DANCE (20-1) is a competitive longshot, running races good enough to beat this group and handling the distance well.

Selections: 5 – 1 – 2 – 7

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 9

Post: 4:04 PM ET; $600k Eight Belles S. presented by Sysco going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 12

• #7 DENIM AND PEARLS (3-1) gets the top selection for the Cox barn with Prat in the irons.
• #12 R HARPER ROSE (12-1) is a price horse and will be competitive, proven to handle these conditions.
• #1 IMPEL (5-2) will be competitive, likely part of the early pace in this spot.
• #9 HALINA’S FORTE (10-1) has a shot, coming in with solid early pace figures.

Selections: 7 – 12 – 1 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 10

Post: 4:51 PM ET; $600k Edgewood S. presented by TwinSpires going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 14

• #9 HARD TO JUSTIFY (2-1) gets the top selection, expected to handle the distance well with solid recent form.
• #4 BUCHU (4-1) is a major player, having been competitive against decent company.
• #13 DANCING N DIXIE (12-1) is a price horse and will be competitive, not likely to struggle with the distance.
• #5 MO FOX GIVIN (8-1) will be competitive, coming into the race in good form.

Selections: 9 – 4 – 13 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 11

Post: 5:51 PM ET; $1500k Longines Kentucky Oaks going 1 1/8 m on dirt; Entries: 16

• #3 WHERE’S MY RING (15-1) could potentially pull a big upset, coming in with solid recent form. Bet the longshot play of the card at BetOnline.
• #16 CANDIED (20-1) is a price horse and a major player, having been competitive against decent company.
• #13 JUST F Y I (9-2) has to be considered, running races good enough to beat this group.
• #11 WAYS AND MEANS (5-1) will be competitive, likely to get the right setup in this race.

Selections: 3 – 16 – 13 – 11

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 12

Post: 6:27 PM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 12

• #11 ALMOSTGONE ROCKET (3-1) gets the top selection, expected to improve from the first start and representing the top power rating.
• #7 TWEETSTER (5-1) should improve and is a major player, not likely to struggle with the distance.
• #1 TIPSY TAMMY (6-1) is a major contender, running consistently and likely to perform well in a moderately paced race.
• #3 HARBOR SPRINGS (6-1) will be competitive, running evenly and expected to benefit from a fair pace scenario.

Selections: 11 – 7 – 1 – 3

Churchill Downs Picks – Kentucky Oaks Day – Race 13

Post: 7:02 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 15

• #12 HAPPY HAPPY (8-1) gets the top selection, running consistently and not likely to struggle with the distance.
• #8 PRINCESS MADISON (5-2) should improve and is a major player, not likely to struggle with the distance.
• #13 BACKSTRETCH ROSE (12-1) is a price horse and a major player, proven to handle these conditions.
• #14 DYNAMISM (12-1) is another longshot, running consistently and likely to perform well in a moderately paced race.

Selections: 12 – 8 – 13 – 14

Churchill Downs Derby Week Coverage

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• Kentucky Derby Post Position Analysis
• Kentucky Oaks Analysis from Churchill Downs
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