Oaklawn Park Saturday: Pippin Stakes Analysis, Selections

The Saturday card from Oaklawn Park features the Pippin. Lovely Ride breaks from post 3 and was installed as the morning line favorite.

Oaklawn Morning Lines

Morning lines are designed to be an educated guess of how the betting public will analyze the race, not the horse’s actual chances to win. A good morning line will reflect the post time contenders and pretenders regardless of how the race finishes.

David Aragona at NYRA is considered to be one of the top makers in the country. However, not all tracks give this task to a specialist. Often the morning line is set by a track employee who has been somewhat randomly assigned the task. This can lead to wildly inaccurate lines.

Oaklawn is one of the tracks that can see massive fluctuations between the morning line and the off odds. With that in mind horses should not be ignored just because they look hopeless on the line.

Oaklawn Park- Race 1

Post: 12:30 PM CT; $26k Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 8

• #6 FLOWERS FOR LISA (2-1) gets the top selection. He runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.
• #4 MAKE NOISE (5-2) has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
• #3 PROMISING SHOES (7-2) has a run style that suits the Oaklawn track.
• #5 LOOKIN HIGH (12-1) is a price horse that could outrun the odds.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 3 – 5

Oaklawn Park- Race 2

Post: 12:59 PM CT; $27k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 11

• #6 ARTHURIAN (5-2) is the top pick. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Diodoro and Torres.
• #7 WITH VERVE (10-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.
• #4 NEWS BOX (3-1) isn't without hope. He makes sense on speed figures.
• #10 EL TIGRE TERRIBLE (9-2) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 4 – 10

Oaklawn Park- Race 3

Post: 1:28 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 8

• #1 MAMZOOJ (12-1) is a price horse and looks best here. He looks to be the class of the field.
• #8 ANDY CANT (4-5) appears to be a major player in this race. He comes into the race in really good form. This one is well bred for this spot.
• #5 ATLANTIC DANCER (9-2) has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
• #4 ORDER OF MERIT (30-1) seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 1 – 8 – 5 – 4

Oaklawn Park- Race 4

Post: 1:57 PM CT; $27.5k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 12

• #4 LADY SHAMAN (4-1) gets the top selection. She has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
• #11 LEGENDARY GIFT (15-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one should be part of the early pace in this spot.
• #10 PUT A BOW ON IT (6-1) appears to be a major player in this race. She makes sense on speed figures.
• #9 CATECHISM (7-2) has to be respected going out for the combination of Diodoro and Torres.

Selections: 4 – 11- 10- 9

Oaklawn Park- Race 5

Post: 2:26 PM CT; $33k Maiden Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 12

• #5 UNIFIED GURL (10-1) is the top pick. She looks to be the class of the field. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
• #6 SUPER SPIRIT (3-1) debuts here and appears to be a major player in this race. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Diodoro and Torres.
• #8 THORN CROWN (8-1) should improve off the first start and appears to be a major player in this race. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
• #10 TRUE EMOTION (10-1) goes out for Moquett and Bejarano.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 8 – 10

Oaklawn Park- Race 6

Post: 2:55 PM CT; $103k Allowance going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 9

• #2 EFFICIENCY (6-1) looks best here. He will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
• #7 B SUDD (9-2) appears to be a major player in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group.
• #1 SPEED BIAS (12-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.
• #8 TEN GAUGE (8-1) has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.

Selections: 2 – 7 – 1 – 8

Oaklawn Park- Race 7

Post: 3:24 PM CT; $37k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 11

• #7 MOJO MAN (12-1) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group.
• #3 UPSTRIKER (4-1) has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
• #11 WHOOPING JAY (5-2) should be competitive in this spot. He looks to be the class of the field.
• #5 COST BASIS (8-1) should be part of the early pace in this spot.

Selections: 7 – 3 – 11- 5

Oaklawn Park- Race 8

Post: 3:53 PM CT; $106k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 9

• #3 KEYSTONE FIELD (2-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group.
• #5 OPEN ROAD (8-5) has to be respected going out for the combination of Cox and Geroux. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.
• #1 TIZ RYE TIME (10-1) has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
• #4 GREAT ESCAPE (9-2) could get the right setup in this race.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 1 – 4

Oaklawn Park- Race 9

Post: 4:22 PM CT; $150k Pippin S. going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 10

• #9 WILL'S SECRET (10-1) is a price horse and looks best here. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
• #3 LOVELY RIDE (3-1) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
• #7 COACH (7-2) has races good enough to beat this group and shouldn't have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance.
• #5 ICE ORCHID (12-1) is a price horse and seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 9 – 3 – 7 – 5

Oaklawn Park- Race 10

Post: 4:51 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 14

• #10 INDIAN IRISH (8-5) gets the top selection. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
• #11 DANCIN N THEPULPIT (3-1) isn't without hope. She seems to fit well enough here.
• #6 MIRACLE SHOES (8-1) looks to be the class of the field.
• #1 HAMAZING DEBATE (20-1) has run against fields that merit moderate success.

Selections: 10- 11- 6 – 1

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