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Parx Tuesday (1/18/22): Looking for Value in the Pick Ends
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Hitting Pick 4s and pick 5s can be a challenge. Players should be ready to encounter long losing streaks. However, with a proper valuation, players can ensure that when they hit it will make up for the losses. Parx offers more pick 4 opportunities than any other track in the country.
Tuesday Analysis
Parx Race Course Race 1- Early Pick 4
Post: 12:25 PM ET; Purse: $30,000 Maiden Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7
#1 KODAPENDENT (3-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed figures #2 DOCTOR DOOM (2-1) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including stamina & pace numbers. #7 BATTLE OF BERLIN (6-1) wouldn't be a huge surprise in the winner's circle. #3 MY BROTHER NEIL (5-1) could get a perfect pace scenario today.
Selections: 1-2-7-3
Parx Race Course Race 2
Post: 12:52 PM ET; Purse: $20,000 Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards on Dirt; Entries: 11
#11 WONDER CITY (3-1) is in with a major shot holding speed & class. #3 IOVA (6-1) could get a perfect pace scenario today. #5 ALLEGRETTO (5-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race. #8 SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD (4-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
Selections: 11-3-5-8 (Best Bet: #11 WONDER CITY)
Parx Race Course Race 3- Early Middle Pick 4
Post: 1:19 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7
#6 MISTY MAUVE (8-5) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & pace numbers. #3 DUNE JUMPER (12-1) is an interesting runner at the price. #4 REID'S FANGIRL (9-2) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & is well bred against this group. #7 FRIEDER FANATIC (6-1) isn’t without a shot in this spot.
Selections: 6-3-4-7
Parx Race Course Race 4
Post: 1:46 PM ET; Purse: $19,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 9
#8 MAJESTIC SKY (4-1) is in with a major shot holding speed & class. #1 ENANO (5-1) makes sense on paper, but the value will depend on how the rail has played through the first three races. #2 WILL TAKE CONTROL (2-1) comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future. #7 AUSTIN WHYLIE (15-1) is an interesting long shot to be included underneath.
Selections: 8-1-2-7
Parx Race Course Race 5- Late Middle Pick 4
Post: 2:13 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7
#1 MR SANDMAN (5-2) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & pace numbers. #3 CRABS N BEER (4-1) fits on a lot of numbers. #4 SOUTHERN RUNNER (9-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & class. #6 PERFECT DAY (5-1) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group.
Selections: 1-3-4-6
Parx Race Course Race 6- Pick 5
Post: 2:40 PM ET; Purse: $34,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 8
This race seems pretty wide open. #7 ICY COLD (7-2) has foundation that could prove to be helpful in the late stages of the race.. #8 MACKENZIE'S NOVVA (8-1) is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions. #4 UNCLE GARY G (5-1) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & form. #6 UNDERCOVER KITTY (5-2) is worth a look here given edges in class & pace numbers.
Selections: 7-8-4-6
Parx Race Course Race 7- Late Pick 4
Post: 3:07 PM ET; Purse: $25,000 Starter Optional Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9
#8 DIVINE MIRACLE (3-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & connections. #1 CANT STOP THIS MAN (4-1) looks like a strong prospect edging the field in several key handicapping factors including class & power rating. #5 PERFECT REVENGE (5-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed figures alone. #6 RACK GIN (6-1) would have to be considered a fringe contender.
Selections: 8-1-5-6
Parx Race Course Race 8
Post: 3:34 PM ET; Purse: $25,000 Starter Optional Claiming, 5 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 10
#10 PYLON (6-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & connections. #5 VICTORY BUILT (5-2) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #2 UNIMPEACHABLE (5-1) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group. #6 CLEMENZA (6-1) comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.
Selections: 10-5-2-6
Parx Race Course Race 9
Post: 4:01 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards on Dirt; Entries: 10
#9 UNCLE IRISH (5-1) is a major player based on speed figures. #8 FLORIDA GATOR (4-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & record at the distance. #7 VINE JET (8-1) is worth a look here given edges in connections & form. #10 NOSTALGIC RUN (3-1) is worth a look here given edges in stamina & power rating.
Selections: 9-8-7-10
Parx Race Course Race 10
Post: 4:28 PM ET; Purse: $22,000 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 12
#6 DIESEL (7-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form. #7 MISSION WRAPITUP (6-1) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #2 MONDAY'S WITH MIKE (8-1) will likely be able to carry his speed late if others are tiring in the stretch. #9 BARILKO (6-1) is worth a look here given the connections & race flow and projected race flow.
Selections: 6-7-2-9
Tuesday Pick 4 and Pick 5 Strategy
When putting together pick ends tickets there are a couple considerations to use. For these tickets the general construction followed the following set of guidelines:
- Eliminate vulnerable favorites
- Stick to front end runners when possible
- Keep cost down by getting “skinny” when possible
- Cast a wide net when chaos seems likely
Given these considerations some of the tickets may differ slightly from the picks above.
Early Pick 4 (Races 1-4)
- Early Pick 4 Ticket: 1,2,7/11/2,3,4,6,7/1,7,8 ($22.50)
Early Middle Pick 4 (Races 3-6)
This seems like the hardest sequence of the bunch and appears to require the biggest investment per race.
- Early Middle Pick 4 Ticket: 2,3,4,6,7/1,8/1,5,6/4,5,7,8 ($60)
Late Middle Pick 4 (Races 5-8)
- Late Middle Pick 4 Ticket: 1,5,6/4,5,7,8/8/2,5,10 ($18)
Philly Pick 5 (Races 6-10)
- Philly 5 Ticket: 4,5,7,8/8/5,10/7,8,9,10/6,7,8,9 ($64)
Late Pick 4(Races 7-10)
- Late Pick 4 Ticket: 1,8/5,10/7,8,9,10/6,7,8,9 ($32)
Betting News Tuesday Coverage
Betting News free tips and handicapping tools are available each and every day. Tuesday’s tracks include:
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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