Tampa Bay Downs February 5, 2022: Tampa Bay, Endeavor Analysis

Next weekend Tampa Bay Downs will run their Derby Prep, the Sam F. Davis. This weekend a pair of stakes highlight the card with the Tampa Bay and Endeavor Stakes.

Saturday Stakes Analysis

Tampa Bay Downs Race 6

Post: 2:42 PM ET; Purse: $175,000 Endeavour S., 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 10

• #3 LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE (3-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's class & power rating. Even though the Tampa turf can be unpredictable, this one seems like the right choice.
• #5 KATAMA MOONLIGHT (12-1) if the turf course lives up to its usual topsy turvy reputation, catching 12-1 on the horse with the best speed & race flow is well worth the risk.
• #4 STUNNING PRINCESS (8-1) has class similar to the top selection, but falls behind in other categories.
• #7 IN ITALIAN (9-2) has the best in the money percentage at the distance and should at least be a player in this spot.

Selections: 3-5-4-7

Tampa Bay Downs Race 8

Post: 3:46 PM ET; Purse: $175,000 Tampa Bay S., 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 13

• #10 DEVAMANI (3-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & class.
• #6 L'IMPERATOR (9-2) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group.
• #9 CLEAR VISION (12-1) looks like a strong prospect edging the field in several key handicapping factors including connections & pace numbers.
• #12 EPIC BROMANCE (20-1) should be able to last the distance without much issue here.

Selections: 10-6-9-12

Saturday Undercard Analysis

Tampa Bay Downs Race 1

Post: 12:13 PM ET; Purse: $33,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 mile 40 Yards on Dirt; Entries: 6

• #4 CUSTOMER DRIVEN (2-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & breeding.
• #6 FIVE PRIZES (3-2) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & race flow.
• #5 WONDERSTRUCK (8-1) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including stamina & pace numbers.
• #3 CULDEE (3-1) is another coming out of a well respected barn.

Selections: 4-6-5-3

Tampa Bay Downs Race 2

Post: 12:43 PM ET; Purse: $13,500 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9

• #4 FIREHORN (5-2) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & form.
• #5 OPTIMAL COURAGE (4-1) has to be respected based on the connections.
• #9 STRIKING HEIR (6-1) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts.
• #6 YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY (7-2) has been running against tougher in previous starts.

Selections: 4-5-9-6

Tampa Bay Downs Race 3

Post: 1:13 PM ET; Purse: $13,000 Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 14

• #2 BETH DUTTON (8-1) is worth a look here given edges in pace numbers & bloodlines.
• #3 CATCH THE RAINBOW (5-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form.
• #14 RED PRIESTESS (4-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
• #7 ANOTHER SAUCY SIX (15-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & race flow.

Selections: 2-3-14-7

Tampa Bay Downs Race 4

Post: 1:42 PM ET; Purse: $29,000 Allowance, 1 Mile on Turf; Entries: 9

• #1 GATE CREW (4-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & power rating.
• #7 SOFT POWER (8-5) has to be respected based on the connections.
• #4 MARV'S MAGIC (10-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
• #3 MR. KRINGLE (6-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.

Selections: 1-7-4-3

Tampa Bay Downs Race 5

Post: 2:12 PM ET; Purse: $14,000 Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 11

• #5 DENY (6-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form.
• #11 ALL FOOLS DAY (5-1) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & pace numbers.
• #8 DOS VAQUEROS (12-1) makes sense given the connections sending this one out.
• #6 YOU'RE IN COREY (20-1) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts.

Selections: 5-11-8-6

Tampa Bay Downs Race 6

Post: 2:42 PM ET; Purse: $175,000 Endeavour S., 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 10

Endeavor Stakes analysis provided above.

Selections: 5-3-4-7

Tampa Bay Downs Race 7

Post: 3:14 PM ET; Purse: $29,500 Allowance Optional Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9

• #7 R MERCEDES BOY (9-5) looks tough to beat here given the edge in a number of key categories including speed & class.
• #5 MYSTIC LINK (8-1) should find this 7 furlongs to hit him square between the eyes.
• #1 LORD BARNA (12-1) has speed figures around those of the top pick, but they were run against much weaker.
• #4 GRAN RUNNER (9-2) goes out for solid connections and has a power rating that merits consideration.

Selections: 7-5-1-4 (Best Bet: #7 R MERCEDES BOY)

Tampa Bay Downs Race 8

Post: 3:46 PM ET; Purse: $175,000 Tampa Bay S., 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 13

Tampa Bay Stakes analysis provided above.

Selections: 9-10-6-12

Tampa Bay Downs Race 9

Post: 4:18 PM ET; Purse: $14,000 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 14

• #3 LYRICAL (5-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & form.
• #10 R TENDERONI (7-2) looks like a strong prospect edging the field in several key handicapping factors including connections & power rating.
• #13 JULIE'S GRACE (8-1) has hit the board at a 75% clip in 6 furlong dirt races.
• #9 CHILLIN LADY (3-1) has to be respected based on the horse’s connections.

Selections: 3-10-13-9

Tampa Bay Downs Race 10

Post: 4:48 PM ET; Purse: $21,000 Claiming, 1 Mile on Turf; Entries: 14

• #1 RAKI (15-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & form.
• #3 GLOVANNA (8-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
• #5 GO YEOWOMEN (6-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.
• #6 SHE FLED THE SCENE (6-1) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & power rating.

Selections: 1-3-5-6

Betting News Handicapping Tools

While the big races will be on Saturday, Tampa Bay Downs will be running all weekend. The racing starts on Friday and continues through Sunday. For help handicapping the cards that surround Saturday’s card, don’t forget to check out the free Betting News handicapping tools. These tools use artificial intelligence that can be a great help to making your selections.