Tampa Bay Picks: 2024 Tampa Bay Derby

Tampa Bay will be the center of the Kentucky Derby world Saturday. Check out our Tampa Bay picks for the Derby prep card!

Full Card Analysis

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Tampa Bay Picks- Race 1

Post: 11:55 AM ET; $18k Claiming going 1 mile 40 y on dirt; Entries: 10

• #3 SEIVER (3-1): Gets the top selection. Top overall power rating, projected to sit mid-pack and come with one run.
• #2 CROSS ISLAND (6-1): Isn’t without hope. Been running against decent company.
• #4 AMAZINGNESS (6-1): Isn’t without hope. Goes out for the Rodriguez barn, in good form.
• #1 CALISUE (4-1): Probably best to put underneath. Makes sense on speed figures, runs consistent pace figures.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 4 – 1

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 2

Post: 12:25 PM ET; $20k Claiming going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 10

• #6 UNFLAPPABLE MAX (6-1): Gets the top selection. Solid in recent starts, consistent pace figures. Bet the longshot play of the card at BetOnline.
• #1 PRACTICAL WAY (2-1): Will be competitive. Runs races good enough to beat this group, tactical speed.
• #3 HERCULES (9-2): Will be competitive. Likely to have a lot to do in the lane but could get up with a competitive run.
• #10 GEAUX YOSHKA (8-1): Feels like a fringe contender. Runs consistent pace figures.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 3 – 10

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 3

Post: 12:55 PM ET; $53k Maiden Special Weight going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 11

• #10 MR BOLT (7-2): Debuts and gets the top selection. Will run for the combination of Morey and Gallardo.
• #5 MELLIFLUOUS (9-2): A major player. Solid in recent starts, shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
• #6 SUIT ME UP CHARLIE (10-1): A price horse and a major player. Makes sense on speed figures, likely to be out on or near the lead.
• #3 SNOWNAME (10-1): A price horse and has a shot. Makes sense on speed figures, has the pedigree to be a major player.

Selections: 10 – 5 – 6 – 3

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 4

Post: 1:27 PM ET; $53k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 12

• #6 VERY PRACTICAL (7-2): Gets the top selection. Has the pedigree to be a major player.
• #3 QUALIFICATA (5-1): Feels like a fringe contender. Runs races good enough to beat this group, proven to handle these conditions.
• #12 CAMERA (3-1): Should improve off the first start and isn’t without hope. In good form.
• #5 FLUFFY (20-1): A price horse and probably best to put underneath. Likely to have a lot to do in the lane.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 12 – 5

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 5

Post: 1:57 PM ET; $53k Maiden Special Weight going 1 m on turf; Entries: 14

• #5 TWISTED ROMANCE (5-1): Gets the top selection. Makes sense on speed figures, projected to sit mid-pack and come with one run.
• #4 MAYFLY (4-1): A major player. Runs races good enough to beat this group, has the pedigree to be a major player.
• #3 VICTORIA’S DANCER (20-1): A price horse and a major player. Should be sitting in the second tier and looking to make a well-timed run.
• #12 ACTIVE (12-1): A price horse and isn’t without hope. Been running against decent company.

Selections: 5 – 4 – 3 – 12

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 6

Post: 2:27 PM ET; $100k Michelob Ultra Challenger S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 6

• #3 SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING (1-1): Gets the top selection. A dangerous threat to get loose on the front end. Bet today’s best Best Bet at BetUS.
• #2 DYNAMIC ONE (7-2): Feels like a fringe contender. Runs races good enough to beat this group.
• #5 DASH ATTACK (9-2): Seems to be running for the minor placings. In good form.
• #4 SHERLOCK’S JEWEL (5-1): Seems to be running for the minor placings. Will run for the combination of Mcgaughey and Cheminaud.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 5 – 4

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 7

Post: 3:04 PM ET; $75k Columbia S. going 1 m on turf; Entries: 10

• #7 IN A JAM (9-2): Gets the top selection. Makes sense on speed figures, top overall power rating.
• #9 TOK TOK (3-1): Will be competitive. Solid in recent starts, should be ready to run a big one.
• #10 FULMINEO (4-1): Will be competitive. The class of the field.
• #3 MOVE TO GOLD (5-2): Will be competitive. Will run for the combination of Brown and Ortiz.

Selections: 7 – 9 – 10 – 3

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 8

Post: 3:34 PM ET; $50k Handicap going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 10

• #1 STERLING SILVER (8-5): Gets the top selection. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Runs races good enough to beat this group.
• #4 CHEETARA (5-1): A major player. Likely to have a lot to do in the lane but could get up with a competitive run.
• #7 POIEMA (12-1): A price horse and will be competitive. Goes out for the O’Connell barn, tactical speed.
• #3 DREAM CONCERT (3-1): Will be competitive. Will run for the combination of O’Connell and Gallardo, tactical speed.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 7 – 3

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 9

Post: 4:12 PM ET; $225k Hillsborough S. going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 8

• #1 FLUFFY SOCKS (3-1): A major player. Solid in recent starts, should be ready to run a big one.
• #2 MARKETSEGMENTATION (5-2): Gets the top selection. Solid in recent starts, should be ready to run a big one.
• #7 ELUSIVE PRINCESS (9-2): A major player. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Top overall power rating.
• #8 STAR FORTRESS (7-2): A major player. Makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 7 – 8

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 10

Post: 4:45 PM ET; $200k Florida Oaks going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 12

• #6 AUSTERE (4-1): Gets the top selection. Runs races good enough to beat this group, solid in recent starts.
• #5 WASKESIU (8-1): A major player. Will likely get the right setup in this race.
• #11 DYNAMIC PRICING (7-2): Will be competitive. Makes sense on speed figures, comes into the race in good form.
• #10 WEIGH THE RISKS (6-1): Will be competitive. Solid in recent starts, projects to sit mid-pack and come with one run.

Selections: 6 – 5 – 11 – 10

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 11

Post: 5:18 PM ET; $400k Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 10

• #7 NO MORE TIME (7-5): Gets the top selection. Proven to handle these conditions, a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
• #5 DOMESTIC PRODUCT (8-5): Will be competitive. Solid in recent starts, has solid early pace figures.
• #8 CRAZY MASON (12-1): A price horse and will be competitive. Solid early pace figures, goes out for the Sacco barn.
• #9 GRAND MO THE FIRST (12-1): A price horse and will be competitive. Makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 7 – 5 – 8 – 9

Tampa Bay Picks- Race 12

Post: 5:50 PM ET; $53k Allowance going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 12

• #3 NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (5-2): Gets the top selection. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Goes out for the Brown barn.
• #2 STARTUP MENTALITY (7-5): Will be competitive. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance, runs consistent pace figures.
• #9 SIRIUS LIGHT (10-1): A price horse and isn’t without hope. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance, proven to handle these conditions.
• #12 FOREVER ROSE (20-1): A price horse and probably best to put underneath. Projects to sit mid-pack and come with one run.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 9 – 12

Betting News Horse Racing Coverage

Betting News provides AI generated handicapping tools for all of the major tracks around the country each and every day.

In addition, Betting News will continue to provide in depth analysis of select racing cards throughout the week.

Saturday

• Aqueduct picks featuring the Correction Stakes
• Gulfstream Park picks featuring the Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie
• Oaklawn Park picks featuring featuring the Grade 2 Azeri Stakes
• Santa Anita picks featuring the Grade 1 Beholder Mile
• Tampa Bay Downs picks featuring the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby*

*Denotes Kentucky Derby/Oaks Prep

Kentucky Derby Future Prop

Bet on your favorite horse to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby today. Also, check out our analysis of the top of the market in the Derby futures wagers. Bet the Kentucky Derby future pool on Bovada.

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