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Angels vs Mets, Odds & Picks: Lots of Runs Early AM
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Sunday morning baseball is here are the Los Angeles Angels are in the Big Apple taking on the New York Mets.
The Angels have taken the first two games of this series, and Griffin Canning looks to complete the road sweep tomorrow.
Both of these squads are simply playing for pride at this point, as their playoff hopes are no longer realistic.
Let’s breakdown tonight’s game!
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Angels vs Mets Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
- Date: Sunday, August, 27th, 2023
- First Pitch: 12:05pm Eastern
- Broadcast: Peacock
Pitching Matchup
- Los Angeles Angels: Griffin Canning (7-4, 4.62 ERA)
- New York Mets: David Peterson (3-7, 5.59 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Runline
- Angels +1.5 (-195)
- Mets -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline
- Angels +100
- Mets -120
Total
- Over 9 (+100)
- Under 9 (-120)
Angels vs Mets Best Bets
Like I said, these teams are just playing for pride at this point in the season.
Playoffs are out of the question, so players are just trying to pad some stats and boost their own personal resume.
Both of these pitchers have fairly higher ERAs, which makes me think we get some runs in New York early.
There are very minimal instances where a batter has faced these pitchers, but when it has happened, it benefits the hitter.
The Pick: LAA/NYM Over 9 (+100) Bovada
While we bet on the over, I also have a player prop that I’m targeting who has good numbers against this specific pitcher.
It is a small sample size, but I trust this guy to get it done.
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Player Props
Randal Grichuk over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) Bovada
Grichuk hasn’t necessarily cleared this line a ridiculous amount of times, but he fairs well against lefties on the mound.
Against LHP, Grichuk bats .326 this year with 5 of his 11 home runs.
He bats .400 in 5 plate appearances against Peterson, ripping him for two singles when they have faced off.
Peterson has allowed 12/15 2B and 8/13 HR to right-handed batters, and has a pBA of .303.
Before being traded, Grichuk did play the Mets six times this year.
In those six games while with Colorado, Grichuk cleared this line in 4/6 games and totaled 15 bases in that stretch, including a HR and 3 doubles.
I see him having no problem doing that today against this lefty.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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