Diamondbacks vs. Padres (7/17): Will San Diego secure a Sunday sweep at home?

After struggling for a few weeks, the San Diego Padres have secured a much-needed series win against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their final series before the brief MLB All-Star break.

This afternoon, they will look to break out the brooms at Petco Park, though they will have to push across some runs against a pitcher who hasn’t been too generous recently.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks (39-52, 17-26 away, 5th in the NL West) vs. San Diego Padres (52-41, 25-20 home, 2nd in the NL West)
• Venue & Location: Petco Park (San Diego, California)
• Date: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. Eastern Time (1:10 p.m. local time)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Pitching Matchup

• Arizona Diamondbacks: Merrill Kelly (2022: 18 starts, 8-5, 3.36 ERA)
• San Diego Padres: Mike Clevinger (2022: 9 appearances – 8 starts, 2-2, 3.79 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline. This article may also include odds from other top sports betting sites that we have reviewed and recommend.

Moneyline

• Arizona Diamondbacks +134
• San Diego Padres -158

Over/Under

• Over 7 (-122)
• Under 7 (+100)

Run Line

• Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-162)
• San Diego Padres -1.5 (+134)

Value High on Kelly, D-Backs to Avoid Sweep

The Padres are 5-0 at home against the Diamondbacks thus far this season, but there is a good possibility that undefeated mark will be no longer after today.

Kelly has been better against the Padres than he has been against any other opponent he has faced at least three times in his career.

In 11 starts against San Diego, he is 7-2 with a 2.43 ERA. And he has done well at Petco Park, where he is 4-2 with a 3.23 ERA in six starts.

Kelly has made only one start against the Padres this season, which was his first start of the year. On April 8, he pitched four shutout innings in a 3-0 loss in Phoenix, allowing four hits and two walks and striking out seven.

Along with excellent career numbers against the Friars, this matchup comes along at the perfect time for Kelly and the Diamondbacks, given how well the 33-year-old righty is pitching right now.

In three July starts, Kelly is 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA. In 20.1 innings, he has allowed six runs (five earned), 12 hits, and six walks.

Kelly has also been at his best on the road, other than a disastrous outlier of a start against the Dodgers on May 17, in which he allowed eight runs in just two innings.

In his other seven road starts, he is 6-0 with a 1.88 ERA (nine earned runs allowed in 43 IP), and five of his nine quality starts have come away from Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Prediction and Best Bets

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction: Diamondbacks to win

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Best Bets: Diamondbacks ML (+135 at Bovada Sportsbook, BetUS & MyBookie) & Diamondbacks 1st half +0.5 (-115 at BetOnline)

With how well Kelly is pitching right now and how well he has historically done against the Padres and at Petco Park, this might be the best underdog option on today’s MLB slate.

There likely won’t be too many runs in this matchup either, but I don’t love the under enough to recommend it or the under for San Diego’s team total.

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