Dodgers vs. Marlins (August 27): Will Alcantara dominate again at home?

After a wild game yesterday, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins continue their series this evening, with NL Cy Young favorite Sandy Alcantara on the hill in a big game for his award hopes.

Yesterday’s game was scoreless through five innings but featured 16 runs in the final five innings, with MLB’s best team outlasting one of its worst 10-6 in 10 innings.

The teams traded leads in the sixth and seventh, then the Dodgers rallied to take the lead in the top of the ninth only to squander it in the bottom of the ninth.

But a five-run tenth was too much for Miami to overcome, with NL MVP candidates Mookie Betts, Trea Turner, and Freddie Freeman all producing run-scoring hits in the decisive frame.

Mookie Magic in Miami. pic.twitter.com/KTzpOvwb7D

— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) August 27, 2022

The offenses were able to break through last night after pitching dominated the first five innings, but fewer runs are likely on the horizon tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers (87-37, 42-21 away, 1st in the NL West) vs. Miami Marlins (54-71, 25-34 home, 4th in the NL East)
• Venue & Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)
• Date: Saturday, August 27, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 p.m. Eastern Time

Dodgers vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup

• Los Angeles Dodgers: Dustin May (2022: 1 start, 1-0, 0.00 ERA)
• Miami Marlins: Sandy Alcantara (2022: 25 starts, 11-6, 2.19 ERA)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline. Odds from our other recommended sports betting sites may also be mentioned in this article.

Moneyline

• Los Angeles Dodgers -205
• Miami Marlins +172

Over/Under

• Over 6.5 (-118)
• Under 6.5 (-104)

Run Line

• Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-114)
• Miami Marlins +1.5 (-105)

Can Alcantara Aid Award Chances with Dodger Domination?

Alcantara continues to hold a fairly healthy edge in the NL Cy Young race, but he needs to be at his best today to maintain or extend his advantage.

He had his worst and shortest outing of the season against the Dodgers last Sunday at Dodger Stadium, allowing six runs and ten hits in 3.2 innings in the Marlins’ 10-3 loss.

The 26-year-old righty enters today’s matchup as a -260 favorite at BetOnline, with Dodgers pitcher Tony Gonsolin next in line at +500, followed by Atlanta’s Max Fried (+1100).

There’s no shame in getting roughed up by the Dodgers, but after allowing more than three runs only twice in his first 20 starts, Alcantara has allowed four or more runs three times in his last five starts.

It’s worth noting, however, that in his other two starts in that period, he pitched a complete-game shutout against the Cincinnati Reds and seven shutout innings in a win over the San Diego Padres. If his recent pattern continues, he will have a similarly outstanding outing tonight.

While only half of last night’s game was dominated by pitching, we could be in for an epic duel tonight between Alcantara and May.

Were it not for a UCL tear in May 2021, May could have had a breakout season like Gonsolin (16-1, 2.10 ERA) and Tyler Anderson (13-2, 2.89 ERA) are having.

Over 15 months after undergoing Tommy John surgery, the 24-year-old righty returned to MLB action last Saturday against the Marlins, and things could not have gone much better. In five shutout innings, he allowed only one hit and two walks and struck out nine in L.A.’s 7-0 win.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Picks

Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Dodgers to win

Dodgers vs. Marlins Picks: Dodgers/Marlins under 7 (Best Value: -122 at BetUS)

Things got a little wild last night, but we’re unlikely to see a similar offensive explosion tonight.

Alcantara has pitched seven or more innings 17 times in 25 starts this season, including 10 times in 13 home starts. So, we should see him go deep tonight, which will ease the pressure on Miami’s bullpen.

And while May likely won’t go as deep given that he is still fresh off of a long layoff, it’s unlikely that one of the league’s best bullpens will have back-to-back bad games. So, the under is the way to go here, especially if you can get the added security of the extra half-run for a decent number.

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