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Mariners vs Orioles Prediction & Picks (5/19): Seattle Seeks Yet Another Series Win
Written by: Eddie Griffin
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Since opening the MLB season by failing to win any of their first five series, the Seattle Mariners have won eight of nine series.
Making it nine in ten will be a challenge, as they go up against AL Cy Young hopeful Corbin Burnes in the rubber game of their road series with the Baltimore Orioles.
The O’s took the series opener on Friday night, getting the best of Bryce Miller in a 9-2 win. The M’s set up a chance to keep their hot run going, however, by pulling out a 4-3 win in Saturday’s matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
A showdown with Burnes might mean that runs will be at a premium again, but Seattle will counter in that department with George Kirby, who has pitched well for the most part since two rough starts in April.
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Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Odds
Odds are via Bovada, a longtime fixture in the sports betting industry. Check out our Bovada sportsbook review, then grab yourself a nice sign-up bonus to bet on Major League Baseball.
Moneyline
- Seattle Mariners +128
- Baltimore Orioles -153
Over/Under
- Over 7 (-110)
- Under 7 (-110)
Run Line
- Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-175)
- Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+150)
Looking for more baseball picks? Our MLB picks page features moneyline, total (over/under), and run line (spread) picks for every MLB game on the schedule each day.
Today’s Pitching Matchup for Mariners vs Orioles
- Seattle Mariners: RHP George Kirby 9 starts, 4-3, 3.58 ERA)
- Baltimore Orioles: RHP Corbin Burnes (9 starts, 3-2, 2.68 ERA)
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Analysis
The Mariners are 5-0 in their last five rubber games, but all signs point to that streak coming to an end today.
Few teams have been as good as Baltimore has in games following a loss this season and in recent seasons.
Since the start of the 2022 season, the Orioles are 93-62 (.600) in games following a loss, including 11-3 (.786) this season and 48-29 (.623) last season. All three records rank third in MLB.
On the opposite side, the Mariners are just 11-13 in games following a win, which is tied for 17th in MLB. Also, they are just 6-8 as a road underdog, which is tied for 18th in MLB.
The biggest factors in why this is a spot to fade the Mariners involve two things that have not gone bill.
First, Seattle is 0-4 in Kirby’s road starts this season, and since going 9-4 in his road starts in his first season two years ago, they are 7-13 in his road starts.
Also, the bats have not given Kirby adequate run support on the road at all, scoring just ten runs in his four starts.
With Burnes on the bump, the Mariners are set to have a hard time backing up Kirby again.
The same might be the case for Baltimore’s bats, which have produced all of four runs in his last four starts (all losses) after racking up 37 runs in his first five starts (all wins).
But with Baltimore at home, where they are 5-2-1 in eight series thus season, and owning such a sterling record in bounce-back opportunities, going with the home team in a low-scoring contest is the move here, even with the juice involved.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Best Bets
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction: Orioles to win
Mariners vs Orioles Best Bets: 1) Orioles ML (-153), 2) Seattle Mariners team total under 3.5 (-150)
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More MLB Betting Information
How to Bet on Major League Baseball in 2024
There are many ways to bet on Major League Baseball. As with the NFL, NBA, and NHL, the main ways are moneyline and spread betting, as well as over/under betting.
Futures bets (like Cy Young odds) and prop bets (like strikeout props and batting props) are also one of the most popular ways to bet on the action on the diamond.
Where to Bet on MLB
Many top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season.
In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on MLB MVP odds, Cy Young Award odds, and MLB Rookie of the Year odds, as well as World Series odds.
There are many sportsbooks out there that are good for betting on baseball, but here are some of the books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:
- BetDSI (Review)
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- Bovada (Review)
- Everygame (Review)
- MyBookie (Review)
If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.
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