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Mariners vs Yankees MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (5/23): Gil Dazzles in Bronx
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
mlb
Seattle Mariners Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+5.0
-125
5
-145u
0
New York Yankees Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-4.5
-250
6
-105o
0
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameToday’s Mariners vs. Yankees MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.
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Thursday’s MLB schedule features the Seattle Mariners (27-23) and New York Yankees (34-17) colliding for their four-game series finale at 12:35 p.m. ET.
Dub. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/7rucAG3r0w
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 23, 2024
After opening the series with back-to-back losses, the Yankees got on the board with a massive 7-3 win over the Mariners yesterday. It was an exciting day for the home team as New York racked up four home runs, including a pair from Juan Soto.
Can Seattle clinch a series win with another victory today? Or will New York find a way to replicate Wednesday’s result?
Let’s answer those questions and more as we dive into today’s Mariners vs. Yankees predictions and best MLB bets.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 20-11-0 (64.5%)
Mariners vs Yankees MLB Betting Today (5/23)
Mariners vs Yankees Game Information
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners (27-23, 12-13 Away) vs. New York Yankees (34-17, 17-8 Home)
- Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
- Date: Thursday, May 23, 2024
- Game Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Mariners vs. Yankees: MLB Network
Mariners vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers
- Mariners: Luis Castillo (10 starts — 4-5, 3.28 ERA)
- Yankees: Luis Gil (9 starts— 5-1, 2.39 ERA)
Yankees vs Mariners MLB Odds & Spread
Yankees vs. Mariners MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, May 23 at 9:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Mariners vs Yankees Run Line
- Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-170)
- New York Yankees -1.5 (+150)
Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under
- Over 7.5 Runs (-120)
- Under 7.5 Runs (+100)
Mariners vs Yankees Moneyline
- Seattle Mariners (+127)
- New York Yankees (-138)
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How to Bet on 2024 MLB Season
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Mariners vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends
- Seattle is 10-2 straight up in its last 12 games played on Thursday.
- The Yankees are 14-4 straight up in their last 18 games vs. the American League.
- The total hit the Over in eight of Seattle’s last nine games.
- The total hit the Over in five of the Yankees’ last six games vs. the AL West.
- The total hit the Over in four of the last five Mariners-Yankees matchups.
Mariners vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (5/23)
Yesterday’s win was crucial for the Yankees after being outscored 11-7 by the Mariners in the first two games of the series. New York didn’t look back after Aaron Judge recorded a two-run homer in the first inning as the club’s pitching staff held Seattle off the board until the eighth inning.
It’s going to be interesting to see if the Yankees get off to a similar start. They also led 2-0 following the first inning of the series opener but let victory slip through their grasp as they allowed four unanswered runs in the ninth.
Getting off to a strong start might not be easy, though, considering how well the Mariners’ Luis Castillo has pitched this season. After a rocky start to the year, the three-time MLB All-Star hurler has turned things around, going 4-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 39 strikeouts across 38 2/3 innings in his last six starts.
The 31-year-old veteran also owns a 1-2 record with a 3.80 ERA and 21 strikeouts in four career trips to Yankee Stadium.
Mariners RHP Luis Castillo has been in Cy Young form over the last few weeks.
On the other hand, let’s not act as if Luis Gil hasn’t been one of the MLB’s most dominant pitchers after missing last season due to Tommy John surgery recovery.
The Dominican heat-thrower has pitched his way to a 5-1 record, 2.39 ERA, and 1.082 WHIP while averaging 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings through nine starts. He’s also won each of his last four appearances, allowing one or zero runs in each showing.
Additionally, Gil has yet to lose at home in 2024, going 3-0 with a minuscule 1.64 ERA in four starts at Yankee Stadium.
Unsurprisingly, the Yankees’ batters play confidently whenever Gil takes to the mound, proven by their averaging 8.7 runs in his last three appearances. For comparison, the Mariners scored an average of 4.3 runs in Castillo’s last three starts.
Luis Gil’s ERA is now 2.39 ???
— Jimmy Randazzo (@JimmyRandazzo) May 18, 2024
After picking up a much-needed win on Wednesday, I’m taking the Yankees to win today. New York finally has momentum under its wings and will likely be playing confidently due to Gil’s excellent play. The Mariners won’t go down without a fight, but it’s clear that the Yankees are in control now, making it the latter’s game to lose.
I’m also willing to take the Yankees to cover the 1.5-run line. After all, they own the eighth-best success rate (53.2%) at covering the run line when playing with the same amount of rest as their opponent. They’re also 24-18 ATS against fellow AL clubs this season, whereas the Mariners are 13-19 ATS in that regard.
Considering how the Bronx Bombers are outscoring their opponents by a 4.5-run average in Gil’s last four starts, I like the plus-money here.
Mariners vs Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins
Best Mariners vs Yankees Bet: NYY -1.5 (+150)
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Best Mariners vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (5/23)
After looking through BetOnline’s Mariners vs. Yankees player props, I’m including to back Luis Gil o7.5 strikeouts (+114) as the best option.
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As mentioned earlier, Gil is averaging a blistering 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings in nine starts this season. The 25-year-old is now coming off his best performance to date after striking out a whopping 14 batters in Saturday’s victory over the Chicago White Sox. He now has the benefit of facing the Mariners, who are averaging an MLB-worst 10.2 Ks per game.
Considering how Seattle has struck out at least 11 times in three of the last four games, I expect big things from Gil this afternoon.
Best Mariners vs. Yankees MLB Prop Bet: Luis Gil o7.5 Total Strikeouts (+114)
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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