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Mets vs Cardinals, Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Paul and Pete Get it Done
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The Mets are in St. Louis facing off against the Cardinals in game 1 of a four game weekend series.
We’ve got our best bets for tonight’s game as Adam Wainwright takes the bump for the Cardinals.
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Mets vs Cardinals Season Recap
The Cardinals took 2 out of 3 from the Mets in Citi Field in the middle of June. New York should be coming with some vengeance tonight, although both of these teams have nothing to play for but pride.
Posting similar records, battling to not get last in their respective divisions, we can only hope these teams put on a show for us tonight.
Let’s break down the contest!
Mets vs Cardinals Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Busch Stadium (St. Louis, MO)
- Date: Thursday, August, 17th, 2023
- First Pitch: 7:15pm Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX
Pitching Matchup
- New York Mets: José Quintana (0-4, 3.03 ERA)
- St. Louis Cardinals: Adam Wainwright (3-7, 8.78 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Runline
- Mets -1.5 (+115)
- Cardinals +1.5 (-135)
Moneyline
- Mets -135
- Cardinals +113
Total
- Over 10.5 (-105)
- Under 10.5 (-115)
Batters Come Alive in Busch
With both of these pitchers posting at least a 4.00 ERA, I think hitters could go off tonight.
There are several batters that have great history against these pitchers on the bump, and I expect them to do so tonight.
The total is slightly too high for my liking, as a 6-4 game still doesn’t get us over, and there’s no guarantee that hits and baserunners turn into actual runs.
I’ve targeted a few player props, so this is what I’ve got.
Player Props
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Bases (-120) Bovada
Goldy simply crushed lefties.
He bats .296 against LHP this year, and Quintana has a pBA of .314 for right handed batters.These two also have plenty of history.
Goldschmidt bats .647 against Quintana and is 11/17. He has 5 singles, 3 2B, and 3 HR against this Mets pitcher.
Goldy has cleared two bags in 6 of his last 10 games, including two straight against New York, totaling 7 bases.
Pete Alonso over 1.5 Bases (+100) Bovada
Pete bats .500 against Wainwright, going 3/6 with two walks. He also has 2 2B and a single.
Alonso clears this number in 41% of games overall, but 50% of games on the road. Wainwright has a pBA of .355 against RHB, and we know what Pete is capable of.
He has 5 Home Runs in his last 10 games overall, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he goes yard again tonight, like he did last night.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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