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MLB Must Bet Props: Hits, Bases & More | April 24, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Hump Day to all! There is a massive slate of baseball this evening, and I have a couple of prop bets that everyone will want to sink their chompers into. Here are my favorite plays on the slate today. Fade or follow as you please.
Let’s have ourselves a day!
Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
Three weeks into the MLB regular season, I am currently down BAD -14.27 units. The season is so young the numbers are not there yet. I need the middle of May already.
Please, remember to gamble responsibly, there is not need to be insane like Shohei’s translator.
Silly Goose Parlay: Dodgers ML & Max Muncy 1+ Hit (+130) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
Max Muncy high fiving teammates
The Stank:
Although the Dodgers won last night after being dominated by Patrick Corbin for 5 innings, today is a new day to take full advantage of the Nationals’ below-average pitcher.
Today they are facing starter Jake Irvin, who has to go up against four hitters with elite matchup ratings, according to Batters-Box.com. On top of that, the Dodgers average hitter rating is 0.457 (Elite rating). Irvin has only one solid pitch and that is his fastball. The rest of his pitches are hovering around zero value. Meaning, they are nothing special.
Max Muncy: "It's one of those things where you have to weather the storm, grind through it, and know that in the end we're going to be just fine." pic.twitter.com/tGIiSFFyCS
— SportsNet LA (@SportsNetLA) April 21, 2024
Going hitless in his last four games, Max Muncy is more than due. Against Jake Irvin, he is batting .286 with two doubles and an OPS of .821 in seven at-bats. I am not a fan of sample sizes that small, but it feels good to know he’s seen success against Irvin. Muncy has had success against 60% of his pitches. Most importantly, this season, he has an OPS of .871 and a wRC+ of 134 against fastballs. Which is Irvin’s most-thrown pitch (49%). According to Batters-Box.com, when having an elite rating, Muncy records a hit 64% of the time. Muncy and the Dodgers should pull through tonight.
MLB Prop Bets: Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
Facing Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell, who has no remarkable pictures. Naylor tears the cover off of every single one of Criswell’s repertoire. His current season numbers are astounding, batting .321, with an OPS of .992.
Josh Naylor bombs are always electric pic.twitter.com/SwCoikC45r
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) April 20, 2024
The Guardians first baseman has over 1.5 total bases in 11 of his 22 games this season. According to Batters-Box.com, when having an elite rating, which he does on this beautiful hump day, Naylor records at least a hit 81.82% of the time. The actual sweat will be the second hit if the first hit is only a single.
However, the numbers he continues to put up against Criswell’s pitches are jaw-dropping, and I am currently foaming at the mouth over how much I love Naylor today over 1.5 Baes. Let’s Ride.
Where to find more advanced analytics.
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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