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MLB Must Bet Props: Sides, Team Totals & More | August 13, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Tuesday!
We’re back with more must-bet props to satisfy your baseball wagering needs. Let’s dive in!
Top MLB Prop Bets for Tuesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Yesterday’s write up went 2-0, since Marco Gonzales was pulled prior to the game
Braves F5 Team Total Over 1.5 (-160)
2 Unit Play
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Marcell Ozuna flips bat after hitting a ball into orbit
The Stank:
This matchup could be either the mispricing of the century or a potential trap. There’s no middle ground.
The Braves are set to face off against San Francisco Giants starter Kyle Harrison, who currently holds the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box.com and ranks second worst for the season. Harrison is already at a disadvantage. Compounding the issue, the Braves boast five elite-rated hitters in both current and default ratings. Atlanta’s average hitter matchup rating is categorized as elite.
The 23-year-old left-hander has struggled this season, allowing opponents to exceed his ERA in 13 of his 20 starts. Harrison has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. In his last two outings, he has surrendered 11 hits and eight runs over 8.1 innings.
Atlanta averages 2.33 runs in the first five innings, though this drops to exactly 2.00 runs on the road. However, in their last three games, they are averaging three runs in the first five innings. Over their past five games, they are hitting .279 with an OPS of .897.
After a 1-0 win yesterday, the Braves’ bats should rebound and produce early.
Yankees Alt F5 Spread (-1.5) (+110)
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The Stank:
I’m running back this play after the White Sox’s big win against the Yankees last night.
Tonight, I believe the Yankees’ bats will come alive against Jonathan Cannon. The Yankees have four elite-rated hitters this season: Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Ben Rice, and Giancarlo Stanton.
Cannon is currently posting a 3.91 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. He’s been solid in his last three games, allowing only four runs in 19 innings. However, it’s time for him to face a powerful lineup and come back down to earth.
The White Suck, sorry finger sliped, the White Sox’s offense features three poorly rated hitters and five players with strikeout rates above the league average against Yankees starter Nestor Cortes.
I’m expecting the Yankees’ bats to heat up early and secure a win tonight.
Sprinkle of the Day: Aaron Judge Home Run (+210)
- Sitting at 299 career home runs on the anniversary of his first home run on August 13, 2016.
- Elite Rating on Batter-Box.com
- Price for Judge is actually really nice. Last night it was well inside the +100’s
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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