Sportsbook Promos
MLB Must Bet Props: Team Totals, Bases & Home Runs | September 10, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Happy Tuesday!
None of these hit
Wow. That kinda hurts https://t.co/HKNWCrDiGL
— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) September 10, 2024
Top MLB Prop Bets for Tuesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] 5/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="" margin="0"] $10 Cash Bonus with code "BNEWS" [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Monday’s write up 0-3. It has been a rough two days I am 1-11-1 since Sunday.
Brewers F5 Team Total Over 2.5
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
Brewers rising star, Jackson Chourio pointing to dugout
The Stank:
It has not been confirmed yet whether Hayden Birdsong will start for the Giants, but Rotowire lists him as the probable starter. If he does take the mound, here’s the play:
Brewers First Five Innings Team Total Over
As of now, sportsbooks haven’t posted this prop, but when they do, I’ll be ready to bet on it. The Brewers feature five elite-rated hitters in default ratings and six in current season ratings on Batters-Box.com. They rank third in baseball for first five innings scoring, averaging 2.88 runs, and 2.85 runs on the road.
Birdsong has been a dream matchup for opposing hitters, allowing the highest hard contact percentage among today’s starters at 48.35%. He has a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The 23-year-old particularly struggles against right-handed hitters, who are batting .253 with an OPS of .902 against him. With Milwaukee’s lineup heavily right-handed, this could be a great spot for the Brewers to score early and often.
Keep an eye on the prop markets. If Birdsong is confirmed as the Giants’ starter, I’m betting on the Brewers’ first five innings team total to go over. Rotowire’s projections are usually accurate, but be sure to wait for the official announcement before placing your bet.
Matt Wallner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
The Stank:
He didn’t come through for us yesterday when he was only elite-rated on Batters-Box.com’s current season ratings. But today’s a different story. The Twins outfielder now holds an elite rating in both timeframes. His trends are impressive: he’s gone over 1.5 bases 57.14% of the time in 28 elite-rated games this season and hits a home run 25% of the time.
Wallner faces Angels starter Griffin Canning, who has the third-worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box.com and the 7th highest hard contact percentage among today’s starters at 37.26%. Left-handed hitters are batting .269 with an OPS of .813 against Canning this season. On the road, Canning has struggled, with a 5.24 ERA and an average of 3.4 runs allowed per start.
Canning relies on four pitches, but only his changeup is above league average in value. Wallner hits .333 against changeups, with an OPS of 1.207 and a wRC+ of 239. This looks like an ideal matchup for Wallner, especially after two straight hitless games.
Sprinkle of the day:
- Matt Wallner Home Run (+320)
- Jackson Chourio Home run (+830)
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all of my picks and sports opinions!
Be sure to check out all things Betting News on X and Twitch!
While you are at it go get some merch at our Betting News Store!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] 5/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] $10 Cash Bonus with code "BNEWS" [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] 4.4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] Odds Open Very Early [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] 4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] Very Fast Payout Times [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] 5/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] An exclusive VIP program [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] Great use of graphics and user-friendly interface [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] Multiple currencies supported [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] 4.4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] Largest Selection of Sports & Games [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] 4.8/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] Free $10 Casino Chip with Sign-Up [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] Industry-leading Welcome bonus! [/su_icon]
Interested in Learning More About Betting on the MLB?
We have tons of MLB betting resources, ranging from daily predictions to expert picks and you can find them below to help you get started.
Also, follow Betting News on X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok to get more daily sports betting insight and more from the Betting News team.
Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
More MLB News on Betting News
Free Betting Picks