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MLB Must Bet Props: Team Totals, Hits & More | May 6, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Sunday was absolutely disgusting, going down 4+ units. However past is the past, today is a new day. I have another pair of props I feel very confident about. Let’s get into the stank and have ourselves a marvelous Monday.
There are so many games today that two bets do not feel like enough. Make sure to follow me on Twitter/X @C_Marchio2 for my complete Saturday card.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Monday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
The full MLB card went down -4.74 units last night. I’m a Monday guy it’s fine.
Today is a new day. Let’s get after it.
Silly Goose Parlay: Twins Team Total Over 2.5 & Trevor Larnach 1+ Hit (+115) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
Trevor Larnach crushes baseball
The Stank:
Today, a team scattered all over the Batters-Box.com matchup rating is the Minnesota Twins. In the current season and default ratings, five hitters have an elite matchup rating. Those hitters will face Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo, who is posting an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.18. The right-handed veteran has had ups and downs this season, but he has been giving up a considerable amount of base hits. In seven starts this season, he is allowing 5.8 hits per start. He has done well with keeping those hitters from scoring, only allowing a little over two runs per start.
Fake and spoiled #MNTwins fans might’ve quit on this game, but the real fans have stuck around to watch Trevor Larnach get an RBI single. pic.twitter.com/cNBDa7YRwJ
— Twins Ribbies (@TwinsRibbies) May 5, 2024
However, the Minnesota Twins are not a team to be underestimated. They have demonstrated their scoring prowess, ranking 11th in the league with an average of 4.64 runs per game this season. Moreover, many of the Twins have a history of success against Castillo, which should give them an edge in getting on base.
Among the Twins, one player stands out-Trevor Larnach. The outfielder has been a standout performer in the first few months of the season, boasting an impressive batting average of .381 and an OPS of 1.009. Today, he is not only ranked 12th in the default rating but also holds the top spot in the current season rating on Batters-Box.com. Larnach has been destroying all of Castillo’s pitches.
Today should be a great time to buy in on the Twin’s runs and for Larnach to at least get a hit.
Player Prop: Brent Rooker Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (+115) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
One of, if not the hottest hitters in baseball this past weekend, Brent Rooker, has one of the best ratings matchups today. The Athletics outfielder has been playing out of his mind, hitting .438 with seven hits, three home runs, and an OPS of 1.613 in his last five games.
Today, Rooker takes on Rangers starter Andrew Heaney, who has been putrid all season long. The heavy fastball pitcher has posted a 5.10 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in his first six starts of the season.
I think it’s Brent Rooker Day pic.twitter.com/nbyHsMXRGO
— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) May 6, 2024
Rooker and Heaney have only faced each other four times, but that does not mean anything. According to Batters-box.com, Rooker has the fifth-best matchup rating today. Heaney allows a lot of hard contact, so it should be an excellent spot for Rooker to at least get a base hit.
It’s a small sample size, but Rooker’s trends are mouthwatering. When having an elite rating(11 Ratings), Rooker goes over this prop 72.73% of the time. He records a home run 45.45% of the time, so yes, I have sprinkled on the home run. Regardless of the small sample size, Rooker has been on fire. He crushes all of Heaney’s pitches, and the data points to him and the Athletics having a relatively successful day.
Where to find more advanced analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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