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MLB Must Bet Props: Totals, Hits & More | April 22, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The weekend might be over, but the fun never stops. Today we have beautiful slate of games on the diamond today and I have a couple props that I would like to share.
Let’s have ourselves a day!
Top Props for Monday’s MLB Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
Three weeks into the MLB regular season, I am currently down BAD -14.27 units. The season is so young the numbers are not there yet. I need the middle of May already.
Please, remember to gamble responsibly, there is not need to be insane like Shohei’s translator.
Silly Goose Parlay: Padres Moneyline & Eguy Rosario 1+ Hit (+100) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
The Stank:
Over in the Rocky Mountains, the Egg Man (Eguy Rosario) and the Padres look to take full advantage of Austin Gomber. Gomber has given up 22 hits and 11 runs in four starts this season. Most of his pitches are below league average. Today, he faces a lineup with an average hitter rating of 0.485 (elite rating), according to Batters-box.com.
Dylan Cease is on the bump for the Padres, and he looks fantastic. With a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 1.99, he should have a lot of success against a Rockies lineup with an average hitter rating of 0.36 (Low Above Average Rating). Eight hitters on the Rockies roster are above the MLB K Rate Percentage. Cease should deal.
Eguy Rosario’s now owns a 177 wRC+
Vs. LHP his wRC+ is > 220.
He’s swinging & missing more than last season, but he’s also hitting the ball harder.
56.3% Med Contact% in 24’(? 14.6%)
31.3% Hard Contact% in 24’(? 6.3%)— Clark Fahrenthold (@CFahrenthold11) April 21, 2024
Rosario has been playing some great ball to start the year, batting .276 with an OPS of .978. He is sitting atop my favorite website, Batters-box.com, with the best matchup rating on the day. The Egg Man is an excellent play to record a hit, especially since he crushed four of Gomber’s five pitches.
Total: Braves Team Total Over 5.5 (+105) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
I’m going back to the team total props since it makes more sense to pick a team with a bunch of elite matchup ratings than a bunch of guys to hopefully get a hit.
Today, the Braves face off against Ryan Weathers, who has allowed 2+ runs per start this season and at least 4+ hits. According to Batters-box.com, he takes on a star-studded team that has six hitters with elite matchup ratings. The Braves’ average hitter rating today is .475, which is elite. Olson, Acuna, and Riley are all elite today.
Bryce takes the ball for his season debut ?#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/uqrlrgzeWE
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 22, 2024
This season, the Braves average the most runs per game, 6.25. Miami, on the other hand, gives up the fourth most runs, 5.35. A couple of weeks ago, when these two teams faced off in Miami, the Braves went over this number in two of the three games of that series.
Where to find more advanced analytics.
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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