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MLB Top Props: Bases & Parlays | April 5th, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The weekend is finally here, and Fridays are always filled with a ton of MLB games. Today is a special one; your favorite player’s favorite pitcher to face is most likely on the bump today. Let’s get into these props and start the weekend on a great note.
Here are my favorite plays of the day.
Top Props for Monday’s MLB Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
Eight days into the MLB regular season, I am currently down -1.44 units. It is a long season, so buckle up.
Top MLB Prop: Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+104) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
Austin Riley celebrating with teammates after home run
The Stank:
Entering this game, Austin Riley has the second-best matchup rating on Batters-Box.com, behind only Matt Olson. However, I think Riley is the one to attack in this matchup.
Austin Riley’s first round tripper of the year ????? #BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/ng6V5ht3wQ
— Thumser (@JeffreyThumser) April 1, 2024
Riley is going up against Diamondbacks starter Tommy Henry, who, a season ago, only had two pitches above league average. His fastball and changeup were his worst pitches a year ago. Austin Riley was on top of Henry’s pitches a season ago. He batted .262, with a .850 OPS and wRC+ of 135 against fastballs. Here is where we start to drool; against changeups, he batted .339, with an OPS of .984 and a wRC+ of 174 in 2023.
In Atlanta, the wind is blowing out to the left-center at about 10 MPH. Hopefully, Riley can benefit from the wind.
Silly Goose Hit Parlay: Chas McCormick + Adolis Garcia (+130) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
Both Chas McCormick and Adolis Garcia, hitters, enter today’s game with top-10 matchup ratings on Batters-Box.com. This slate is filled with below-average pitchers, presenting a golden opportunity for these hitters to shine and for you to possibly cash some wagers.
Chas McCormick takes on Rangers starter, Cody Bradford, who is coming off a win against the Cubs. Going five innings pitched, allowing three hits and two earned runs. Despite the great outing vs the Cubs last week. I do not think he will have that much success tonight against the Astros.
Chas! Chas! Chas!
McCormick's single to score Bregman is our @Honda Drive of the Homestand! pic.twitter.com/hzN2tdlRw1
— Houston Astros (@astros) April 4, 2024
Bradford is very reliant on his fastball, as 50% of his pitches are fastballs. None of his pitches a year ago are worth bragging about. McCormick has always had success against fastballs, as he should. As for the other pitches, he does well enough for me to like him to get a hit. McCormick is batting .333 with an OPS of .845 this season. He has a hit in every game but one. I love Chas.
On the other hand, Adolis Garcia takes on Astros starter, Hunter Brown. Like Bradford, Brown is heavy on his fastball as well. Garcia lights up every pitch in his repertoire, especially curveballs and cutters. On the season, Garcia is batting .240, with three home runs and six RBIs.
With just two well-placed hits, we could be looking at a successful Friday. The potential for a rewarding outcome is high, so let’s stay optimistic and enjoy the game.
Where to find more advanced analytics.
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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