Orioles vs. Guardians (August 30): Quantrill, Cleveland aiming fo a perfect ten

After a big road series win over one division leader this past weekend, the Baltimore Orioles will look to get the better of another division leader on the road in their Tuesday evening opener against the Cleveland Guardians.

The O’s make the trip to Cleveland following a series win over the Houston Astros, who are 43-20 at Minute Maid Park this season.

Only ten total runs were scored in the three games, and each game was decided by two runs. Baltimore claimed the series with wins on Friday and Saturday, and the Astros staved off the sweep with a win on Sunday.

With both the Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays losing their weekend series, the weekend could not have gone much better for the Orioles.

The Guardians’ four-game series in Seattle also didn’t feature many runs, with only 20 runs scored across the four games. But while Baltimore had a winning weekend on the road, Cleveland did not, as they lost three of four.

Still, the Guardians remain in the driver’s seat in the AL Central. And with their three best starting pitchers set to go in this series, they will like their chances of that remaining the case ahead of Seattle’s visit to Progressive Field this coming weekend.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (67-60, 30-36 away, 4th in the AL East) vs. Cleveland Guardians (67-59, 32-25 home, 1st in the AL Central)
• Venue & Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
• Date: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 p.m. Eastern Time

Orioles vs. Guardians Pitching Matchup

• Baltimore Orioles: Spenser Watkins (2022:
• Cleveland Guardians: Cal Quantrill (2022:

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline. This article may also include odds from other recommended sports betting sites.

Moneyline

• Baltimore Orioles +132
• Cleveland Guardians -156

Over/Under

• Over 8.5 (-110)
• Under 8.5 (-110)

Run Line

• Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-162)
• Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+134)

Terrific Trend on the Line in Cleveland

In his most recent start, Quantrill met and mastered his former team, the San Diego Padres. In Cleveland’s 7-0 victory last Wednesday, he allowed five hits and one walk and struck out six in seven stellar shutout innings.

Quantrill has blanked the opposition three times in five starts this month. Were it not for allowing four runs in each of the other two starts, his month would look even better.

Similar could be said about the last month and a half, his numbers at home, and his season in general.

Season Splits for Cal Quantrill

• Home (13 starts): 6-0, 3.38 ERA, 80 IP, 67 H, 30 R (30 ER), 11 HR, 20 BB, 51 K, .229 OBA
• Away (11 starts): 4-5, 3.86 ERA, 63 IP, 67 H, 33 R (27 ER), 6 HR, 18 BB, 43 K, .277 OBA

Quantrill has 13 quality starts this season, eight of which have come at home. But he has given up four or more runs seven times, including three times in his last five home starts.

But individual results matter only so much here, given that the Guardians have won his last nine starts overall and are 9-1 in his last ten home starts.

It doesn’t hurt to have the bullpen arms that they do. Nor does it hurt to have the run support he has had.

In Quantrill’s last nine starts, the Guardians have outscored opponents 66-22 and have scored 6+ runs in all but one game.

And in that 9-1 run in his home starts, they have outscored opponents 66-35 and have scored 6+ runs eight times.

It all represents quite the turnaround from the first couple of months of the season.

After scoring 17 runs at Kansas City in Quantrill’s first start this season, Cleveland scored 17 runs total in a 1-6 stretch across his next seven starts. Since then, they are 13-3 in his last 16 starts, thanks to that serious uptick in offensive output.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Picks

Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians to win

Orioles vs. Guardians Picks: Guardians -1.5 (Best Value: +140 at Bovada Sportsbook) & Guardians team total over 4.5 runs (Best Value: +100 at BetMGM & Bovada Sportsbook)

The good, if you’re backing Baltimore: The Orioles are 9-4 in their last 13 road games, and Watkins is 3-1 on the road this season, compared to 1-3 at home.

Watkins is also coming off of his fourth quality start of the season. He allowed two runs, five hits, and two walks and struck out five in six innings against the Chicago White Sox last Wednesday.

Also, the O’s have won the series opener in their last ten three or four-game series.

The bad, if you’re backing Baltimore (and good if you are backing Cleveland): Baltimore has lost Watkins’ last three starts, and as mentioned above, Cleveland has been very, very, very good offensively in Quantrill’s recent starts, at home and overall.

If you still haven’t been taking the Orioles seriously, you should at this point. Their series win at Houston was the latest example of why. And at 35-24 (.593) following a loss this season, they have the league’s sixth-best win percentage following a loss.

But Cleveland’s run when Quantrill has been on the mound is too good to overlook. Seven of the nine consecutive overall wins have been by 2+ runs, and the same number of wins in the 9-1 home stretch have come by 2+ runs.

You may well have some sweating to do, as the Orioles have proven very difficult to put away. With that in mind, you may prefer to stick to Cleveland’s team total. But in my view, the value with the run line is well worth the potential stress.

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