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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction & Picks (Sept. 11): LA’s Dominance Continues
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
San Diego Padres Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-145
9
-105u
+139
Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+125
9
-115o
-150
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers begin their final series of the 2023 MLB campaign on Monday. Los Angeles has dominated this year’s Padres vs Dodgers season series, leaving time to tell if San Diego can at least pick up some bragging rights this week.
The Dodgers head into tonight’s action as they return home following Sunday’s 7-3 victory over the Washington Nationals. On the other hand, the Padres are in dire need of a bounce-back performance after getting drubbed 12-2 by the Houston Astros just over 24 hours ago.
Betting News has got your back when it comes to your Padres vs Dodgers needs. Keep reading for the game’s latest odds, a matchup preview, and the top betting options.
Padres vs Dodgers Tonight (Sept. 11)
SD vs. LAD Game Information
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (67-77, 28-41 Away) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55, 47-24 Home)
- Venue & Location: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
- Date: Monday, Sept. 11, 2023
- Game Time: 10:10 p.m. Eastern Time
- Where to Watch Padres vs Dodgers: Spectrum SportsNet LA, DIRECTV, MLB.TV
Padres vs Dodgers Odds
Game odds as of Monday, Sept. 11 at 11:27 a.m. ET, courtesy of Bovada. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Spread
- San Diego Padres +1.5 (-140)
- LA Dodgers -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under
- Over 9.5 Runs (-115)
- Under 9.5 Runs (-105)
Moneyline
- San Diego Padres +140
- LA Dodgers -168
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Padres vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
- Padres: Pedro Avila (10 games/4 starts — 1-2, 2.19 ERA)
- Dodgers: Gavin Stone (5 games/3 starts — 1-0, 10.50 ERA)
Padres vs Dodgers Betting Trends
- San Diego is 2-9 straight up in its last 11 road games.
- The Dodgers are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 home games.
- The total has hit the over in four of San Diego’s last six games.
- The total has hit the over in four of the Dodgers’ last six NL matchups.
- The total has hit the over in four of the last five games between San Diego and the Dodgers.
Padres vs Dodgers Game Preview
Tonight’s matchup is the 11th Padres vs Dodgers showdown of the 2023 season. As previously mentioned, Los Angeles has dominated its NL West rival this year, winning eight of the previous 10 matchups against San Diego.
What’s even more impressive is that the Dodgers have succeeded by creating distance, boasting a plus-2.1 average run margin in the season series while winning four of the last five encounters by at least four runs.
Unfortunately, winning at Dodger Stadium will be easier said than done for the road team. After all, the Padres have an abysmal 3-18 in their last 21 road games against the Dodgers, which includes a 0-3 record in Los Angeles this season.
Adding insult to injury is the fact that the Padres have dropped nine of their last 11 away matchups this year, whereas the Dodgers are 16-4 in their last 20 home games.
The Padres are turning to Pedro Avila as their starting pitcher tonight.
The 26-year-old veteran has spent most of the season as a relief but has done well when given the chance to start. He’s 1-2 with a 3.50 ERA in four starts and is coming off an appearance that saw him all two hits without a run over 6 2/3 innings in an 8-0 win over the Philadelphia Phillies.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are expected to start former top prospect Gavin Stone. Clayton Kershaw was originally supposed to start, but he’ll pitch later this week instead.
This game marks Stone’s first start since May 28. The Lake City, AR native struggled as a starter earlier in the year, pitching to a 14.40 ERA in three starts after surrendering 16 earned runs on 23 hits with seven walks over just 10 innings of work.
Despite Stone’s struggles, the Dodgers tend to play confidently when he appears, scoring an average of 8.4 runs in his five previous games.
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets
- Padres vs Dodgers Prediction: Dodgers 7, Padres 4
- Padres vs Dodgers Best Bets: Dodgers -1.5 (Best Value: +120 on Bovada) & Max Muncy Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135 on Bovada)
The Dodgers have dominated the Padres all season long and I don’t see that changing any time soon. San Diego is awful on the road and can’t seem to keep things close, hence why I see Los Angeles covering the 1.5-run spread at home.
Another Padres vs Dodgers bet I like is Max Muncy finishing with over 1.5 total bases. Muncy has been one of LA’s better players, slashing .284/.351/.612 with 19 hits and 41 total bases in his last 17 games. He also hit the over on this prop in 12 of those contests.
Averaging 1.8 TBs in his last nine games against the Padres, I see Muncy having another productive night this evening.
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All of the top online sports betting sites will have MLB odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for baseball betting enthusiasts.
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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