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Padres vs Giants: Prediction & Best Bet (June 22)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
San Diego Padres Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-130
8
+100u
+132
San Francisco Giants Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+116
8
-103o
-143
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe Padres and Giants face off in this NL West showdown, and we’ve got our prediction and best bets for tonight’s game!
The Giants have won all 3 games of this series so far, but they did lose 2 games to San Diego earlier this year.
We are in for a real treat with Blake Snell and Alex Wood taking the bump for each team, does that mean we see a pitching duel? Or will the bats erupt at Oracle Park?
Let’s breakdown tonight’s matchup!
Check out our expert’s thoughts on our MLB Picks Page!
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Padres vs Giants Preview
The Giants are red hot right now, and they’ve propelled themselves to 2nd place in the NL West, passing the Los Angeles Dodgers. Things are completely clicking for San Francisco.
In their 10 game winning streak, the Giants are scoring 8 runs per contest and only allowing 3.1. They’ve only allowed 5 runs tops in those 10 wins, and have scored double digits three times.
It’s also worth noting that they have covered a runline of -1.5 in all but 2 of those 10 wins.
The Giants are a force to be reckoned with at the moment.
But Blake Snell is on the mound for San Diego.
Snell is coming off a fantastic revenge game against the Tampa Bay Rays. In that game, he pitched 6 shutout innings while striking out 12 batters and only allowing 2 hits. It was a career game for Mr. Snell.
I think we see something similar out of him today, facing this Giants team that strikeouts plenty.
Padres vs Giants Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Oracle Park (San Francisco, CA)
- Date: Wednesday, June 21th, 2023
- First Pitch: 3:45pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBCS-BA
Pitching Matchup
- San Diego Padres: Blake Snell (3-6, 3.48 ERA)
- San Francisco Giants: Alex Wood (2-1, 4.11 ERA)
Betting Odds
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Runline
- Padres -1.5 (+130)
- Giants +1.5 (-155)
Moneyline
- Padres -125
- Giants +105
Total
- Over 8.5 (-105)
- Under 8.5 (-115)
Padres vs Giants Prediction & Best Bets
As far as a play on the side or total, it’s tough to bet against the Giants with the way they have been playing. But I also think it’s telling that the team on a 10 game win streak is a short dog at home.
Especially with the pitching matchup, my gut tells me the Padres end this streak tonight. I think we see another solid outing from Snell who has clearly found his form, and I think the Padres bats will give him enough run support to get the job done.
My favorite bet on this game: Padres -1.5 (+135)
As always, we also have some player props to go along with our game script.
Player Props
Blake Snell over 6.5 Strikeouts (-130)
We all know what Snell is capable of, as he’s shown us the last few starts. He’s cleared this line in 4 straight games, and has notched 12 Ks the past two starts.
He hasn’t faced the Giants yet this season, but he’s cleared this number in his L3 starts against SF, totaling 11, 8 and 8 Ks in those outings last year.
Snell ranks in the 85th percentile in K/Inning, averaging 1.24, and 83rd in Swinging Strike Rate. He makes guys look foolish.
The Giants are 5th in K% against lefties, striking out over 25% of the time.
I see Snell having zero problem getting his Ks today, and I think we see another career day from him. Because of that, we will ladder this as well.
- 7+ Ks (-130)
- 8+ Ks (+132)
- 9+ Ks (+250)
- 10+ Ks (+450)
That’s my personal limit, but if you think Snell has a third straight start with 12 Ks, you can bet that at +1400 odds.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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