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Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Picks: Can Gallen stay hot at home?
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Texas Rangers Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-196
8
-114u
+102
Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-200
8
-105o
-112
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameIt’s a beautiful Tuesday in August, and we’ve got a 15 game MLB slate; what better time to make some money?
I know there are plenty of games today, but let me take you to the very last game on the slate, Rangers vs. Diamondbacks.
Both teams met early in May, splitting a two game series in Texas. Tonight we get a repeat of the pitching matchup; Zac Gallen vs. Jon Gray.
Lots to break down in this game, so let’s get right into it!
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Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: Chase Field, Arizona
- Date: August 22, 2023
- Time: 9:40 PM EST
Pitching Matchup
- Texas Rangers: Jon Gray (7-6, 3.52 ERA)
- Arizona Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen (13-5, 3.17 ERA)
Betting Odds
Courtesy of Bovada
Runline
- Rangers +1.5 (-200)
- Diamondbacks -1.5 (+170)
Moneyline
- Rangers (+104)
- Diamondbacks (-124)
Total
- Over 8.5 (-120)
- Under 8.5 (+100)
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Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Breakdown & Best Bets
Back in May, we saw the same two pitchers take the mound opposite one another; giving up 15 combined hits and seven earned runs. That was May, it’s now August, and October’s not far off.
Both teams have been trending in completely opposite directions recently. The Rangers have now lost five straight games, going 4-6 in their L10; while the Diamondbacks have won three in a row, posting an 8-2 record over their L10 games.
With August coming to an end, each game becomes that much more important with the playoffs looming. The Rangers currently hold a 1.5 game lead on the Astros for the AL West, while the Diamondbacks are making a very serious push for the wildcard.
Both teams are in need of wins, and that all starts on the mound.
The Rangers road woes have proven to be their kryptonite, going just one game over .500. They’ve been a different squad on the road, posting a 0.258 BA vs. their 0.278 BA at home, and averaging almost a full strikeout more on the road.
Jon Gray, however, has been lights out on the road. Posting a 2.47 ERA (vs. 4.17 @ home) with just 4 HRs allowed. He’s given up 1 ER in his L2 games, going seven innings in both matchups.
Gallen is 10-1 @ home this season, posting a ridiculous 1.82 ERA (4.46 ERA on the road) across 12 starts. He’s averaging 7.7 Ks per home game vs. 5.4 Ks/game on the road, and 19.8 outs/game (17.7 @ home)
Two of the three matchups this season have gone for 10+ runs, including the 6-4 Rangers win last time these pitchers faced off; but the total still sits at 8.5.
If you haven’t figured it out yet, we’re riding the under. The Rangers are 24-33-2 to the under, when playing on the road; the Diamondbacks are 22-35-5 to the under when playing at home. Two big offenses, full of great hitters; under makes sense right.
Pick: TEX / ARI u8.5 (+100)
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Zac Gallen o5.5 Strikeouts (-115) Bovada
Alright, so you get the idea. Gallen is a different beast playing in his home stadium.
He’s played 6+ innings in every one of his 12 home starts, he’s also gone over his strikeout line in 10 of the 12 games. Gallen also recorded six strikeouts in the prior matchup this season, in just 5.1 innings, on the road.
I expect Gallen to go deep into this game, so despite the tough matchup, I’ve gotta push the button.
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