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Rockies @ Reds: MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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It’s Friday Junior (Thursday), and we’ve got 4 baseball games on this beautiful afternoon. We’re taking a trip down to Great America Ballpark for this one, we’ve got the Rockies taking on the Reds after a narrow victory last night..
Here are our best bets for the Rockies vs. Reds!
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Rockies @ Reds Game Information
Sam Hilliard hit two home runs and recorded 3 RBI to help propel the Rockies to a win in Great America Ballpark.
Matchup Information
- Location: Great America Ballpark; Cincinnati, Ohio
- Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
- First Pitch: 1:10 PM EST
Pitching Matchup
- Colorado Rockies: Austin Gomber (2-5, 4.47 ERA)
- Cincinnati Reds: Hunter Greene (5–4, 3.45 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Run Line
- Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-125)
- Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+105)
Money Line
- Colorado Rockies (+175)
- Cincinnati Reds (-192)
Total
- Over 9 (-105)
- Under 9 (-115)
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Rockies @ Reds Analysis & Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz leads the MLB with 45 stolen bases this year, Brice Turang of the Brewers sits in second with 29.
The Reds and Rockies have not been elite by any metric this year. Cincinnati enters this game 5 games below 0.500 and sitting 5th in the NL Central.
The Rockies have not been any better. They’re currently 33-60 and also sit last in their division. Colorado and Cincinnati have met 6 times this season with the Reds winning 5 of the 6 matchups.
Colorado’s lone win came last night, despite a late rally by the Reds that fell short in the top of the 9th inning. The Rockies will have left handed turkey tosser, Austin Gomber on the mound.
Unlike most of the Rockies’ starters, Gomber’s numbers actually get worse outside of Coors Field. He’s got a 5.44 road ERA and he’s given up 5+ hits in 9 of his L10 starts, all this season.
The Reds will turn to study Hunter Greene. He’s got a 3.45 ERA and Greene’s given up 9 home runs this year but he’s been fantastic at striking out his opponent.
Colorado strikes out at the 4th highest rate in the league and tonight with Greene on the mound, it could be another tough one for the Rockies.
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS
De La Cruz is batting 0.360 against the Rockies this season.
Elly De La Dong, what a cool nickname. Cruz is really becoming the stud everyone expecting him to be and maybe even a little more. He’s had his issues seeing the ball, batting just 0.250; but he’s also recorded 15 home runs, 40 RBI, 62 runs scored and 45 stolen bases.
Elly currently leads all players in stolen bases, with Brice Turang coming in 2nd with just 29 stolen bases. He’s faced Gomber just once in his career, going 1/3 with a single.
He’s also batting 0.360 against the Rockies this year, and 0.405 in his 9 career games against them. Elly’s hit his bases line in 7 of these 9 matchups.
At these odds, with Gomber on the mound, I couldn’t pass it up. I love the Reds bats to get hot tonight, starting with Mr. De La Dong.
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline
Bonus Bet: Elly De La Cruz Home Run (+500)
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Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS
Last night, the Reds suffered their first loss to the Rockies of 2024.
It’s become almost a weekly holiday, Fade Austin Gomber Day. If you’re reading this, you must also be a devout follower of Mr. Gomber.
I talked about how he’s been bad on the road, about how he’s given up countless home runs; but usually Rockies pitchers do better outside of Colorado. Understandably with the way Coors Field is geared to favour hitters, coupled with the weather and atmospheric pressure; it’s my favorite park for a reason.
Gomber’s been bad away from home, but he’s been really bad at Great America Ballpark. He’s got just one start with the Rockies at this park, and it came last season.
Gomber went 5.1 innings and gave up 5 hits, 5 runs and 3 home runs. This Reds lineup last season was so bad, Joey Votto was still a regular starter at the time.
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Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline
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To Recap, MLB Betting Insights for July 11th, 2024:
In the Rockies vs. Reds game today, we’re rolling with two plays. Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline and we’re rolling with Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-120) via BetOnline.
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