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Twins vs Mariners: Prediction, Odds, & Best Bets (July 17)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
Minnesota Twins Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+170
7
-109u
-114
Seattle Mariners Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-200
7
-108o
+115
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe Twins and Mariners face off tonight in Seattle for the start of a three game series. We’ve got our prediction and best bets for tonight’s game based off the betting odds available.
These teams have not faced each other this year, and although they share very similar records, the Twins lead they’re division while the Mariners are 8 games back in the AL West.
Let’s breakdown tonight’s contest!
Check out our expert’s thoughts on our MLB Picks Page!
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Twins vs Mariners Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)
- Date: Monday, July 17th, 2023
- First Pitch: 9:40pm Eastern
- Broadcast: Fox Sports 1
Pitching Matchup
- Minnesota Twins: Sonny Gray (4-3, 2.89 ERA)
- Seattle Mariners: Logan Gilbert (7-5, 3.66 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
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Runline
- Twins +1.5 (-180)
- Mariners -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline
- Twins +118
- Mariners -141
Total
- Over 7 (-115)
- Under 7 (-105)
Two Studs on the Bump
With Sonny Gray and Logan Gilbert on the mound tonight, and a total listed at 7, this game just screams under to me.
These pitchers combine for just over 5 runs a game and both offenses rank in the bottom half in runs scored per contest. Both teams also rank in the top 5 of the MLB in runs allowed per game.
Now, these teams also love to strikeout against right-handed pitchers.
The Twins strikeout the most against righties, over 27% of the time, putting them 1st in this category. The Mariners are right behind them at just over 25%, ranking 2nd in the league.
Will we see plenty of strikeouts tonight with these two pitchers?
Both average right around 1 K/Inning, leaving this question virtually unanswered.
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Player Props
Logan Gilbert over 7.5 Strikeouts (+138)
It’s not going to be pretty and it’s probably going to be extremely sweaty.
Gilbert only averages 0.98 K/Inning, and I doubt he makes it through eight today.
Therefore, we need him to play above average, but I think he can against this Twins lineup.
Gilbert has only posted 8 Ks in 3 starts this year, but two of them did come at home where he pitches tonight.
Over the entire season, and over the past month, the Twins strike out more than any other team in Major League Baseball. Pitchers for the Oakland A’s cleared their strikeout line twice in their first series after the All Star break.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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