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Twins vs Mariners: Prediction, Odds, & Best Bets (July 20)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
Minnesota Twins Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+175
7
+105u
-116
Seattle Mariners Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-204
7
+101o
+107
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameTonight the Twins and Mariners face off in the final game of a four game series. Although these two teams will turn around and face off again in Minnesota for three games starting on Monday!
The Mariners won the first installment on Monday evening, beating the Twins 7-6. Minnesota scored 3 in the top of the 9th but needed one more to force a Seattle at bat.
The AL Central leading Twins bounced back and won the next two games of the series, outscoring the Mariners 16-6.
Tonight we see Pablo López and George Kirby square off on the mound in what will be an epic pitching battle.
Let’s breakdown tonight’s game!
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Twins vs Mariners Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)
- Date: Thursday, July 20th, 2023
- First Pitch: 3:40pm Eastern
- Broadcast: MLB TV/ ROOT Sports NW
Pitching Matchup
- Minnesota Twins: Pablo López: (5-5, 4.24 ERA)
- Seattle Mariners: George Kirby: (8-8, 3.44 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
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Runline
- Twins +1.5 (-210)
- Mariners -1.5 (+175)
Moneyline
- Twins +100
- Mariners -120
Total
- Over 7 (-125)
- Under 7 (+105)
López vs Kirby Showdown
We get to see a couple of fantastic pitchers duel it out tonight, and against the teams who strikeout the most against righties.
These guys combined for nearly 13 Ks a game, and like I said, these teams love to swing and miss.
The Twins strikeout the most in the league against righties overall this season and over the past month. They get sat down over 27% of the time.
The Mariners are right behind them. They strikeout the 2nd most to righties over the course of the year, and over 26% of the time over the past month.
I expect plenty of strikeouts from these two studs tonight, but I am laddering one of them.
As far as a side goes, I do lean with the Twins.
They have been gaining some betting steam this morning, but you can still snag them at +108 on BetOnline like myself.
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Player Props
Pablo López over 7.5 Strikeouts (-130) Bovada
This guy is a strikeout pitcher and he is going to sit some Mariners down tonight.
López averages 7.6 Ks per start on the season, but that number is up to 8.8 over his last five. I already stressed how the Mariners love to strikeout, which works well considering López puts up 1.25 K/Inning, putting him in the 85th percentile of the league.
López clears this number in 50% of his starts overall or on the road, and two starts ago he had a season high 12 Ks in a complete game.
Kenta Maeda struck out 9 in his start against Seattle last night, so I don’t see why another Twins pitcher like López can’t get us at least 8.
I have a rare 2U play on 8+ Ks at (-130), and also played a unit on 9+ Ks at (+130).
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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