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Twins vs. Guardians (June 30): Will Bieber carry Cleveland to the series win?
Written by: Eddie Griffin
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Minnesota Twins Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-150
8.5
-110u
+135
Cleveland Guardians Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+136
8.5
+100o
-152
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameAfter being one strike away from their seventh loss in eight games, the Cleveland Guardians got some Wednesday walk-off magic to stun the Minnesota Twins. What is in store for Thursday’s series finale?
After splitting the first two games on Monday and Tuesday, Minnesota took the first game of Wednesday’s doubleheader, and three 10th-inning runs had them in position for a doubleheader sweep.
But Cleveland had other ideas, and Josh Naylor capped a wild final frame with a two-run homer to give the Guardians a 7-6 win.
Thanks to Naylor’s walk-off winner, Cleveland now has a chance to take a second straight series against the Twins after taking two of three in Minneapolis last week.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Odds and Matchup Information
Matchup Information
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (43-35, 20-18 away, 1st in the AL Central) vs. Cleveland Guardians (38-34, 18-15 home, 2nd in the AL Central)
- Venue & Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
- Date: Thursday, June 30, 2022
- Game Time: 1:10 p.m. Eastern Time
- TV Broadcast/Streaming Info: MLB Network
Twins vs. Guardians Pitching Matchup
- Minnesota Twins: Chris Archer (2022: 14 starts, 2-3, 3.14 ERA, 57.1 IP, 46 H, 24 R (20 ER), 45 K/24 BB, 1.22 WHIP, .216 OBA)
- Cleveland Guardians: Shane Bieber (2022: 14 starts, 3-4, 3.07 ERA, 85 IP, 79 H, 32 R (29 ER), 88 K/20 BB, 1.16 WHIP, .247 OBA)
Twins vs. Guardians Odds
Game odds are via BetOnline. This article may also feature odds from our other top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.
Moneyline
- Minnesota Twins +134
- Cleveland Guardians -158
Over/Under
- OVER 8.5 (-110)
- UNDER 8.5 (-110)
Run Line
- Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-162)
- Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+134)
Will Bieber Get Rewarded for Recent Run?
Wins have been few and far between for Shane Bieber this season, but wins and losses don’t always tell the full story, and the 2020 AL Cy Young Award winner is having a very good season even if his record doesn’t indicate it.
Bieber has ten quality starts in 14 starts, and he has only one truly bad start thus far. Entering today’s game, he has seven quality starts in his last eight starts, and it would be eight for eight were his start against the Texas Rangers on June 8 wasn’t interrupted and ultimately ended early by a weather delay.
He has been credited with the win only twice in those eight starts, but Cleveland is 6-2 in this stretch. One of the six wins was a 3-2, 10-inning win at Minnesota on May 14, in which Bieber allowed just one run in six innings on the way to receiving a no-decision.
In June, Bieber is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA in five starts, and the Guardians had won the first four before falling to the Boston Red Sox last Saturday. Bieber allowed three runs, six hits, and two walks in seven innings, but giving up a sixth-inning three-run homer by Alex Verdugo and getting little run support saw Bieber take the loss.
If he gets better run support this afternoon, it should be a series-winning day for Cleveland, whether or not Bieber gets credited with the win. When he starts and the Guardians score 3+ runs, they have a 9-1 record. When he starts and they score fewer than three runs, they are winless in four games.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Best Bets
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians to win
Twins vs. Guardians Best Bets: Guardians ML (-155 at Bovada Sportsbook, MyBookie & BetMGM) & Twins team total under 3.5 runs (-102 at BetOnline)
Archer has yet to pitch more than five innings in any of his starts, but he has a 1.57 ERA in five starts this month. Last Saturday, he tossed five shutout innings and allowed just one hit and one walk in a win over the Colorado Rockies.
There is a lot of value in backing the Twins, who are 22-12 after a loss this season. Archer is pitching fairly well, and if things go according to form–Minnesota has alternated wins and losses in his road starts, and they lost his most recent one at Arizona on June 19–the Twins will leave Cleveland with the win.
But Cleveland is one of the league’s top teams when it comes to win percentage as a home favorite (12-6, .667) and as a favorite overall (22-8, .733).
With their best pitcher on the mound, those percentages are very likely to improve. And the Twins are likely to have limited success at the plate if that outcome occurs, as opponents have been held to three or fewer runs in 10 of Bieber’s 14 starts this season, including eight of the nine that Cleveland has won.
Other MLB Content Today on Betting News (Thursday, June 30)
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