Yankees vs Phillies MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/29)

Today’s Yankees vs. Phillies MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

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The new week of MLB action begins with a potential World Series preview when the New York Yankees (62-45) take a trip to Citizens Bank Park to begin a three-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40).

So, who’ll win the first battle between these juggernauts? Let’s explore the possible victor (and tonight’s best bets) as we dive into my Yankees vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 63-73-1 (46.3%)

MLB Betting Today: Yankees vs Phillies (7/29)

Yankees vs Phillies Game Information

• Matchup: New York Yankees (62-45, 35-22 Away) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (65-40, 38-18 Home)
• Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)
• Date: Monday, July 29, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Yankees vs. Phillies: MLB.TV, Fubo, MLB Network, Prime Video

Yankees vs Phillies MLB Probable Pitchers

• Yankees: Luis Gil (20 starts — 10-5, 3.10 ERA)
• Phillies: Zack Wheeler (20 starts — 10-4, 2.55 ERA)

Phillies vs Yankees MLB Odds & Spread

Phillies vs. Yankees MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, July 29 at 9:26 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

 Yankees vs Phillies Run Line

• New York Yankees +1.5 (-170)
• Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+150)

Phillies vs Yankees Over/Under

• Over 8.5 Runs (-130)
• Under 8.5 Runs (+110)

Yankees vs Phillies Moneyline

• New York Yankees (+124)
• Philadelphia Phillies (-135)

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How to Bet on 2024 MLB Season

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Yankees vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

• The Yankees are 0-8 straight up in their last eight games vs. the NL.
• Philadelphia is 3-7 straight up in its last 10 games.
• The total hit the Over in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
• The total hit the Over in four of Philadelphia’s last five games vs. the AL East.

Yankees vs Phillies Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/29)

These clubs head into tonight’s matchup as two of Major League Baseball’s championship favorites. The Phillies sit atop the pack as BetOnline’s +325 favorite to win the 2024 World Series while the Yankees aren’t much further back as they are currently in a tie for the third-best odds (+700).

Neither side has been acting like much of a championship contender lately. The Yankees are coming off back-to-back wins over the rival Boston Red Sox, however, they’re only 4-5 SU since this year’s All-Star Break while their 34.3% winning percentage since June 15 ranks second-worst in the entire MLB. As for the Phillies, they’re an underwhelming 3-6 SU since the regular season resumed.

It isn’t even as if playing at Citizens Bank Park gives Rob Thomson’s team that much of an edge lately. The Phillies are just 2-4 SU across their last six home games made worse by allowing an average of 6.0 runs per contest during that stretch. For comparison, visitors have only been scoring 3.65 runs per game in Philly this season.

Conversely, the Yankees are a modest 7-5 SU in their last 12 road games. At the same time, though, they only have a 46.4% winning percentage in inter-league tilts this season whereas the Phillies have a 55.2% success rate in that regard.

Will the Yankees finally discover some inter-league success tonight? 

Having said that, these clubs haven’t done well against the opposite league lately. Philadelphia has dropped five of its last seven outings against an American League opponent while New York is on an eight-game losing streak against the National League.

As far as the recent history between these teams goes, things have been extremely even with each side winning 10 of the last 20 matchups. Nevertheless, it’s the Yankees who are 4-1 SU across the last five matchups. At the same time, Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings at Citizens Bank Park.

Regardless of what’s happened over the last few years, fans could be in for a pitching duel tonight. Yankees RHP Luis Gil is back on track after some late-June struggles, having gone 1-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 22 strikeouts across 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts.

Meanwhile, NL Cy Young candidate Zack Wheeler (+160, 2nd on BetOnline) has also been at the top of his game. The Phillies righty has limited his last five opponents to two or fewer earned runs, pitching to a 1.71 ERA while averaging 9.7 Ks per nine innings.

Phillies RHP Zack Wheeler aims to continue his hot streak against the Yankees tonight. 

With the home-field advantage on their side, I’m predicting the Phillies to win. Philadelphia is due to break out of its slump and I see that happening tonight based on its recent home success against New York. The Yankees might be coming off consecutive wins, but it’s been well over a month since they’ve won three in a row.

I’ll be keeping things simple with an outright Phillies bet given that they’re a resounding 12-4 SU across Wheeler’s last 16 starts.

Yankees vs. Phillies MLB Prediction: PHI wins

Best Yankees vs. Phillies Bet: PHI ML (-135)

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Best Yankees vs Phillies MLB Player Prop (7/29)

Sticking with the NL Cy Young contender, let’s go with Zack Wheeler u2.5 earned runs (-130) for today’s best Yankees vs. Phillies MLB player prop.

When it comes to this prop, Wheeler has finished with the Under in 16 of his 20 starts thus far (80.0%). The two-time MLB All-Star has only allowed more than 2.5 earned runs once in his 11 previous appearances, which includes finishing each of the last five with two or fewer earned runs allowed. That’s without mentioning how the Under is also 5-0 in his last five starts at Citizens Bank Park.

Although the Yankees boast some powerful bats, their offense has been largely inconsistent since the All-Star festivities ended. It wouldn’t be shocking if Wheeler has another strong performance in front of a jam-packed Philly crowd.