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UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira Prediction and Best Bet
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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MMA fans are just over 24 hours away from some exciting action this weekend as UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira is scheduled to take place on Saturday, May 21 at the UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nevada.
Although there are several bouts looking forward to on the card, the event will be headlined by a women’s bantamweight event between Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira.
Both women sit inside of the top 5 when it comes to bantamweight rankings, meaning this fight could lead to an eventual championship opportunity somewhere in the near future.
There’s a lot to make note of ahead of the UFC Fight Night main event, between the fighters’ history and the latest betting odds. Fortunately, this guide has everything you need to know ahead of the weekend’s festivities.
UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Ketley Vieira Fight Odds (as of Friday, May 20)
Odds are via our top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.
BetOnline Sportsbook
- Holly Holm -250
- Ketlen Vieira +205
Bovada Sportsbook
- Holly Holm -260
- Ketlen Vieira +210
BetUS
- Holly Holm -250
- Ketlen Vieira +190
MyBookie
- Holly Holm -250
- Ketlen Vieira +200
BetMGM
- Holly Holm -250
- Ketlen Vieira +200
Holm Searches For Third Straight Victory at UFC Fight Night
Holly Holm was one of the most feared women in UFC during the start of her career, kicking the door down with a 10-0 record.
Unfortunately, a technical submission loss to Miesha Tate at UFC 196 in 2016 halted Holm’s momentum, forcing her career trajectory to take a massive hit. She ended up going 2-5 in seven fights from March 2016 to July 2019, leaving fans to wonder if the Albuquerque, New Mexico native best days were behind her.
However, Holm has begun somewhat of a resurgence over the last couple of years. She defeated Raquel Pennington by unanimous decision at UFC 246 before also going the distance and beating Irene Aldana in her last fight in October 2020.
Some fans might be considered since Holm hasn’t fought in about 19 months. Her last two fights have been cancelled due to hydronephrosis and a knee injury, so it remains to be seen what kind of health Holm is in.
Nevertheless, she’s one of the most iconic women figures in MMA history and the unanimous favorite heading into UFC Fight Night for a reason. If Holm manages to put everything together, her next fight could be for the UFC Women’s Bantamweight Championship.
Can Vieira Shock the World in Vegas?
Like Holm, Ketlen Vieira also had quite the impressive start to her MMA career.
The 30-year-old Brazilian fighter was also a perfect 10-0 to begin her career, capturing various titles in her home country. Eventually, that led to her signing with UFC and going a solid 4-0 under the new promotion.
Much to her dismay, Vieira couldn’t continue her momentum beyond that. Her first loss came by knockout against Irene Aldana — someone that Holm defeated. Vieira managed to defeat Sijara Eubanks in her following bout, only to lose to Yana Kunitskaya by unanimous decision in the next.
Having said that, Vieira will enter this weekend’s main event with some momentum on her side. She went the distance with former UFC Women's Bantamweight Championship Miesha Tate this past November, winning by unanimous decision as well.
Yes, Tate is past her prime, but it doesn’t change the fact that defeating a former champion could be good for Vieira’s confidence. Holm might be the favorite in Las Vegas, but health concerns leave her open to a potential Vieira upset victory.
UFC Fight Night Betting Markets for Holm vs. Vieira
While some bettors might be content with moneyline markets, there are some other betting options to consider ahead of UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira.
For example, BetOnline Sportsbook is listing the likeliest method of victory to be Holm by decision at -115 odds. She’s far from the knockout artist she once was and each of her last three victories has come by decision. Besides, Vieira’s last loss also came by decision.
On the other hand, Vieira’s most likely method of victory is to win by decision at +420. Holm hasn’t lost by decision since 2017 and it’s going to take a lot to beat her that way due to her excellent conditioning.
If you’re looking for more value with a combo pick, BetOnline Sportsbook is listing a Holm KO/TKO victory in Round 1 as the most likely scenario at +1200 odds. However, bettors should be cautious since the sportsbook is also favoring the fight to go the distance at -220.
Holm vs. Vieira Fight Prediction
Both women are more than capable of winning this weekend, but I’m siding with Holm as the outright favorite. Momentum is on her side and she’s already been to the top of the mountain as a former UFC Women's Bantamweight Championship.
As for the best bet, I’m taking Holm winning by decision at -115. Is it the most valuable option? No, but nearly half of her career MMA fights have gone the distance and I like her odds of outlasting Vieira if that’s the case on Sunday.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Event Details: Location, Time & How to Watch
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira?
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira will take place on Saturday, May 21, 2022, at the UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nevada.
What time does UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira start?
- UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Prelims Start Time: 4 p.m. ET
- Start Time of UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira’s Main Card: 7 p.m. ET
How can I watch UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira?
Both the prelims and main card can be viewed on ESPN+.
Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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