Jack Della Maddalena vs Randy Brown UFC 284 Prediction & Picks: Can the Hometown Hero Get the Job Done?

UFC 284 is slated to air live from RAC Arena in Perth, Australia on Saturday, Feb. 11. Among all of the exciting bouts on the card is a welterweight tilt between Jack Della Maddalena (13-2) and Randy Brown (16-4) that fans won’t want to miss.

Maddalena vs. Brown#UFC284pic.twitter.com/1ynWhmWN5B

— MMA mania (@mmamania) February 10, 2023

A victory here would mean a lot to both Della Maddalena and Brown. Neither fighter is currently in the UFC’s top-15 welterweight rankings, so being able to pick up the win on Saturday what do a lot to get one of them noticed. Only time can tell just which fighter will emerge as the victor.

There are many things to consider ahead of the UFC 284 welterweight showdown, especially when it concerns the numerous betting opportunities. Fortunately, Betting News has all of your Della Maddalena vs Brown needs, ranging from the latest odds to our picks for the fight.

UFC 284: Della Maddalena vs Brown Fight Odds (as of Friday, February 10)

Odds are via our top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.

BetOnline Sportsbook

• Jack Della Maddalena -340
• Randy Brown +260

Bovada Sportsbook

• Jack Della Maddalena -330
• Randy Brown +260

BetUS

• Jack Della Maddalena -345
• Randy Brown +265

BetMGM

• Jack Della Maddalena -350
• Randy Brown +260

Della Maddalena Universally Favored at UFC 284

Although the odds may vary, all four highlighted sportsbooks are in agreement that Della Maddalena is the heavy favorite in his fight with Brown. The favorite’s shortest odds currently sit at -350 on BetMGM, carrying an implied probability of 77.8%.

Della Maddalena enters UFC 284 riding a 13-fight winning streak, having not lost in nearly seven years. He’s gone 4-0 since appearing on Dana White's Contender Series 39 and is showing no signs of slowing down.

What’s even more impressive is that Della Maddalena has first-round TKO victories in each of his last three fights. He TKO’d Pete Rodriguez in the former’s UFC PPV debut before knocking out Ramazan Emeev and Danny Roberts at UFC 275 and UFC Vegas 65, respectively. Furthermore, Della Maddalena has earned ‘performer of the night’ honors in each of his last two outings.

Standing across from Della Maddalena is the red-hot Brown, who’s won four straight fights. He’s beaten some decent names during his run, including Khaos Williams and Francisco Trinaldo.

Unlike his opponent, Brown hasn’t been finishing off his opponents lately. Instead, he’s had to go the distance to emerge the victor, reaching the round limit in each of his last three fights.

This is easily Brown’s best run of his seven-year UFC career and it’ll be interesting to see if he can keep the ball rolling against an equally hot opponent. He does have the experience advantage over Della Maddalena, making it interesting to see if it pays off this weekend.

UFC 284 Betting Markets & Trends for Della Maddalena vs Brown

With the odds being heavily one-sided, there isn’t much value on the moneyline unless you’re convinced that Brown can pull off the upset. Fortunately, BetOnline Sportsbook offers a variety of betting options with its prop list.

For example, the likeliest method of victory is for Della Maddalena to win by KO/TKO at -110 odds. On top of knocking out his last three opponents, 11 of the 26-year-old’s 13 career MMA victories have come by KO/TKO. Furthermore, Brown has already been knocked out twice since 2018.

Speaking of which, Brown’s top victory method is to win by points at +500. While he’s been winning by decision a lot lately, he’s also only 5-3 when his fights go the distance. There’s also the fact that only one of Della Maddalena’s fights has ever gone to the judges’ table.

BetOnline Sportsbook is also saying that this fight won’t go the distance at -200, further cementing Brown as the underdog.

As far as method & round combo betting goes, Della Maddalena is favored to win by first-round KO/TKO at +230. Of his 11 knockout victories, seven have occurred in the opening round. Having said that, Brown’s only knockout losses have occurred in Round 2 (+550).

Meanwhile, Brown’s top option for this market is also a first-round KO/TKO victory, albeit at +2800 odds. While Della Maddalena has been knocked out once in his career, that loss took place in the third round.

Della Maddalena vs Brown UFC 284 Fight Prediction

In a battle between two hungry welterweights, I’m going with Della Maddalena. Brown might have the size advantage, but Della Maddalena lands more significant strikes (8.45) on better accuracy (50%) than his opponent (4.38 and 48%) and has the better defense (67% vs. 54%), making it a real possibility that he wins by knockout this weekend.

On top of that, Della Maddalena will also have the thunderous Australian crowd on his side as he fights in his hometown of Perth.

When it comes to the best bet, it’s clear that it’s best to take Della Maddalena by KO/TKO at -110. He’s on quite the knockout streak at the moment and considering how Brown has been knocked out in the past, I see the hometown hero finishing his opponent again.

UFC 284 Event Details

When is UFC 284?

UFC 284 will take place on Saturday, Feb. 11, 2023.

Where is UFC 284?

UFC 284 will take place at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia.

What time does UFC 284 start?

• UFC 284 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
• UFC 284 Prelims Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Start Time of UFC 284’s Main Card: 10 p.m. ET

How can I watch UFC 284?

The early prelims will be available on UFC Fight Pass, while the prelims will be available on both ESPN and ESPN+, and the main card will be available via pay-per-view (which can be ordered through the ESPN+ app).

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