Celtics vs Heat Game 4 Prediction & Best Bets: Will Boston Bag Another Big Win in Miami?

On Saturday, the Boston Celtics passed a major test as they mauled the Miami Heat in Game 3 at the Kaseya Center. Tonight, the top seed in the East will look to move within a win of moving on to the second round for the seventh time in their last eight playoff appearances as the two teams tangle in Game 4 (7:30 pm ET, TNT).

In Game 2, the Celtics threw away the advantage they had earned with a resounding Game 1 win, as the Heat claimed a 111-101 win at TD Garden.

That put Boston in an unenviable position heading into Game 3 in Miami. But instead of wilting, they delivered. The Celtics held the Heat to 12 first-quarter points, blew the game open with a 42-point second quarter, and never trailed in a 104-84 rout.

Now comes the hard part. Will they produce another winning performance to take a 3-1 lead, or will they fail to make the most of another advantageous position?

• Read on for the best spread and player prop bets for Celtics vs Heat Game 4.
• See why Boston is likely to have a chance to clinch Wednesday in Game 5 (7:30 pm ET, TNT).
• Where are the best places to bet on Celtics-Heat Game 4 odds? Find out below.

With a 2-1 lead, Boston is in a strong position in the series, as nearly 80% of teams who historically held such an advantage went on to win their series, including 78.8% of teams with a 2-1 lead in a best-of-seven series.

But the Heat have had their backs against the wall on many an occasion recently and responded strongly. Will tonight be the latest example of their resilience and stubbornness?

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on today’s NBA playoff action.

Spread

• Boston Celtics -10.5 (-107)
• Miami Heat +10.5 (-113)

Over/Under

• Over 203.5 (-110)
• Under 203.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Boston Celtics -500
• Miami Heat +395

Get free and reliable moneyline, spread, and over/under consensus picks for every NBA matchup, including this one, from our NBA picks page.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Analysis

Through each of the first three games of this series, misplaced confidence has been the name of the game.

In Game 1, I thought that the Heat would put up more of a fight than they did in 114-94 loss.

In Game 2, I thought that the Celtics would build off of their big-time performance in the opener. Then they gave up 23 three-pointers and lost by double digits.

In Game 3, I thought that the Heat would compete even if they lost. Then they shot 5 of 21 (23.8%) in the first quarter and trailed by as many as 29 points in a 20-point loss.

Will we make it 4 for 4 in getting it wrong?

For the season, the Heat are 7-6 SU and ATS in games following a loss of 15+ points, but they are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four such instances.

The Celtics, meanwhile, are 24-7 SU and 17-13-1 in games following a win of 15+ points, including 8-2 SU and 6-4 in the last ten such instances.

If you have followed the NBA over the last few seasons, you will have seen the Heat respond in adverse situations numerous times.

So, if you believe the Heat can compete in these spots, this is no time to give up on them.

Similarly, if you believe in the Celtics, continue to do so, if perhaps cautiously. There have been no close games in the series thus far, and given Boston’s advantages, they should theoretically continue that trend.

While Miami did lay an egg in Game 3, their response to their Game 1 loss is a compelling reason to feel confident that  the Heat will, at the very least, make the Celtics work hard for their 3-1 lead.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Best Bets

Celtics vs Heat Prediction: Celtics to win

Celtics vs Heat Best Bets: 1) Heat +10.5, 2) Celtics/Heat over 203.5, 3) Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points (-110 at Bovada) & over 29.5 points + rebounds (-115 at Bovada)

The over is just 4-7 this season when the Heat have been a home underdog. However, the Celtics have not had consecutive unders in more than a month and a half.

As for Adebayo, he posted a third straight 20-point game on Saturday, and he went over 29.5 points + rebounds in each of the first two games before coming up a point or rebound short in Game 3.

Other NBA Playoffs Betting Information

Where to Bet on Celtics vs Heat and the NBA Playoffs

Many of the top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of NBA betting odds 00the season.

In addition to being able to bet on 2024 NBA championship odds, you can make daily NBA picks on odds for every game all season long, including NBA playoffs odds.

Also, you can bet on the All-Star Game, NBA Draft odds, and the major awards like NBA MVP, NBA Rookie of the Year, and more at most reputable sports betting sites.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for NBA betting. In addition to BetOnline, here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

• BetDSI (review)
• BetUS (review)
• Bookmaker (review)
• Bovada (review)
• MyBookie (review)
• Sportsbetting.ag (review)

If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Looking to make some player prop picks for Game 4 in Miami? Bovada is one of the best sports betting sites for NBA player props, as they offer a plethora of prop markets for every game on the schedule. They also have a hefty welcome bonus for cryptocurrency users (75% up to $750).

Interested in Learning More About NBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the NBA? Check out our NBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about NBA player prop bets, check out our NBA player props guide.

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