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Knicks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bets | NBA Picks Today (3/18): Can Golden State Slow Brunson Down?
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
nba
New York Knicks Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+6.5
-105
211
-110o
+210
Golden State Warriors Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-6.5
-110
212
-110u
-245
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There are two NBA on ESPN games scheduled for Monday, March 18, including when the New York Knicks (40-27) and Golden State Warriors (35-31) collide at Chase Center for a 10 p.m. ET collision.
?️LET'S GO KNICKS pic.twitter.com/79nK3ES7Gv
— NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) March 17, 2024
The Knicks head to the Bay after Jalen Brunson’s 42-point effort led them to Saturday’s 98-91 win over the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors also hope to see consecutive victories after beating the Los Angeles Lakers 128-121 over the weekend.
Can New York find more success on this road trip? Or will Golden State stand tall at home?
Let’s discuss tonight’s matchup and the best NBA bets it contains as we get into my Knicks vs. Warriors prediction and picks.
Knicks vs Warriors NBA Betting Tonight (3/18)
Knicks vs Warriors Matchup Information
- Matchup: New York Knicks (40-27, 18-14 Away) vs. Golden State Warriors (35-31, 17-17 Home)
- Venue & Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)
- Date: Monday, March 18, 2024
- Game Time: 10 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Knicks vs. Warriors: ESPN
Warriors vs Knicks Odds & Spread
Warriors vs. Knicks odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Monday, March 18 at 10:22 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Knicks vs Warriors Spread
- New York Knicks +5.5 (-115)
- Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-105)
Warriors vs Knicks Over/Under
- Over 211.5 Points (-110)
- Under 211.5 Points (-110)
Knicks vs Warriors Moneyline
- New York Knicks (+170)
- Golden State Warriors (-200)
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Knicks vs Warriors NBA Betting Trends
- New York is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 games played in March.
- Golden State is 13-4 straight up in its last 17 games as the favorite.
- New York is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games vs. the Western Conference.
- Golden State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
- The total hit the Under in eight of New York’s last nine road games.
- The total hit the Under in four of Golden State’s last six games vs. New York.
Knicks vs Warriors Prediction & NBA Picks Today (3/18): Can Dubs Sweep Season Series?
It’s the second and final Knicks-Warriors matchup of the 2023-24 season and the visitors are hoping this one ends differently than the first.
The two teams collided at Madison Square Garden on Feb. 29 as the Warriors walked out of the Big Apple with a 110-99 victory. The Knicks didn’t lead for a single second as Stephen Curry’s 31-point, 11-rebound double-double led Golden State to the win.
The lopsided loss wasn’t exactly a new experience for New York. The Knicks have had a hard time defeating the Warriors throughout the last decade or so, losing 14 of the last 18 matchups between these teams. Furthermore, New York is 5-15 SU across its last 20 road games against Golden State, most recently losing 111-101 in its last trip to Chase Center on Nov. 18, 2022.
The Warriors have emerged on top more often than not when they faced the Knicks over the last few years.
Nevertheless, the Knicks enter tonight on a three-game winning streak and have won four of their last five. Their defense has been instrumental to that success, holding their last five opponents to 93 or fewer points — including holding two to under 80.
With that being said, shutting down the Warriors won’t be easy. Golden State averages the seventh-most points in the NBA and has scored triple-digit points in nine of their last 11 games.
The Knicks will also be shorthanded at Chase Center tonight. Julius Randle (shoulder) and Mitchell Robinson (ankle) are still sidelined while OG Anunoby (elbow) is questionable to suit up.
As for the Warriors, they’re, once again, in full health and looking to capitalize on their latest momentum. If Anonoby — New York’s best defender — can’t play tonight, Golden State could do some real damage at home.
Can the Knicks prevail despite missing key players like Julius Randle?
The Knicks won’t go down easily, but the Warriors should win this game. On top of the home-court advantage, Golden State is healthy and when Steve Kerr’s team has all of its players, opponents better watch out. If New York’s defense doesn’t play up to par, this might not end pretty.
The Warriors already beat the Knicks by 11 points on the road, hence why I see them covering the spread, too. It also helps that the Warriors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games, whereas the Knicks only covered the spread five times in their 18 previous outings.
Considering how Stephen Curry & Co. are also 4-2 ATS across the last six meetings with the Knicks, it isn’t hard to imagine the Warriors winning by six or more points.
Knicks vs Warriors NBA Prediction: GSW wins
Best Knicks vs Warriors NBA Bet: GSW -5.5 (-105)
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Best Knicks vs Warriors NBA Prop Bet (3/18)
Even though he’s coming off back-to-back 40-point efforts, I’m taking Jalen Brunson to record under 29.5 points for the best Knicks vs. Warriors prop bet.
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Despite his impressive efforts, Brunson is “only” averaging 25.6 points across his last seven games, finishing with fewer than 29.5 five times. Additionally, Under is 9-1 in his last 10 meetings with the Knicks — a span where he averaged 17.3 PPG.
After the Warriors held him to 27 or fewer points in each of the last six meetings, I just don’t see Brunson having a 30-point performance tonight.
Best Knicks vs Warriors Prop Bet: Jalen Brunson u29.5 Total Points (-124)
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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