Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds & Picks | NBA In-Season Tournament (Nov. 28): Can Sacramento Clinch Group C?

The NBA In-Season Tournament’s group stage comes to an end on Tuesday, Nov. 28, featuring a West Coast clash between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings on TNT at 10 p.m. ET.

Dame in Miami.
Curry vs. Fox.

The final night of @NBA In-Season Tournament Group Play tips off at 7:30pm ET on TNT and @SportsonMax ? pic.twitter.com/48voNXZh9y

— NBA on TNT (@NBAonTNT) November 28, 2023

Already 3-0 to begin the group stage, the Kings have a chance to clinch Group C with a victory tonight. Having said that, the Warriors — who are 2-1 — still have a chance to win the group if they can find a way to win on the road.

When it comes to Bovada’s NBA In-Season Tournament Cup odds, Sacramento currently ranks fourth at +850 while Golden State is in a three-way tie for ninth at +2000.

In the meantime, let’s dive into this betting preview, featuring everything you need to know — Warriors vs Kings prediction, odds, and best bets — before tonight’s group stage finale.

Warriors vs Kings NBA In-Season Tournament (Nov. 28)

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Golden State Warriors (8-9, 5-3 Away) vs. Sacramento Kings (9-6, 4-1 Home)
• Venue & Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)
• Date: Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2023
• Game Time: 10 p.m. Eastern Time
• Warriors vs. Kings TV Channel Info: TNT

Warriors vs Kings Odds & Spread

NBA game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Tuesday, Nov. 28 at 10:47 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Warriors vs Kings Spread

• Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-105)
• Sacramento Kings -1.5 (-115)

Warriors vs Kings Over/Under

• Over 236 Points (-110)
• Under 236 Points (-110)

Warriors vs Kings Moneyline

• Golden State Warriors +105
• Sacramento Kings -125

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Warriors vs Kings Betting Trends

• Golden State is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games vs. Sacramento.
• Sacramento is 4-1 straight up in its last five home games.
• Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.
• Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as the favorite.
• The total has hit the Over in four of Golden State’s last six games.
• The total has hit the Under in four of Sacramento’s last five games vs. Golden State.

Warriors vs Kings Prediction & Pick (Nov. 28)

The Kings enter this matchup hoping to exact revenge after falling 102-101 to the Warriors back on Nov. 1. Having said that, things look promising for Mike Brown’s team.

While the Warriors most recently beat the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, it’s worth noting that Golden State hasn’t won back-to-back games since, well, defeating the Kings and then beating the Oklahoma City Thunder two nights later.

Fast forward to tonight and the Warriors are 2-7 SU (and 1-7-1 ATS) in their last nine games. They’ve struggled at both ends of the court during that stretch, scoring just 112.4 PPG on 43.7% shooting while allowing 117.2 PPG on 47.1% shooting.

Additionally, Golden State has dropped three of its last four road games, whereas Sacramento is 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) with a plus-3.8 average scoring margin at Golden 1 Center this season.

It’s hard to have much faith in the Warriors when Stephen Curry isn’t getting any help. The legendary sharpshooter is the only player on the team who’s shown up to play lately, averaging 28.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists while shooting 40.2% from the three-point line over Golden State’s last nine games.

For reference, the Warriors don’t have any other player even averaging 20 points during that stretch. Klay Thompson is the next-highest scorer at 13.8 PPG, but he’s only shooting a putrid 34.8% from the field in those games.

Meanwhile, the Kings have seven players averaging double-digit point totals over their last nine games — a span where they’re 7-2 SU. Three of those players are averaging 16.3 or more points with De’Aaron Fox leading the way with a 29.3 PPG clip.

"If you can win that first In-Season Tournament, you're stamped in history."   

De'Aaron Fox on the In-Season Tournament ? pic.twitter.com/IYKqhK1f2d

— Sacramento Kings (@SacramentoKings) November 28, 2023

With superior depth and a knack for better results as of late, I’m taking the Kings to clinch Group C tonight. The Warriors just aren’t that consistent and while Curry is in the middle of one of his best seasons, he can’t outgun Sacramento on his own.

With that in mind, let’s also go with the Kings — who are 6-2 ATS in their last eight outings — to cover the 1.5-point spread. Winning by a single basket isn’t too much to ask for, especially with the Warriors failing to cover in each of their last five outings.

Warriors vs Kings Prediction: SAC wins

Best Bet: SAC -1.5 (-115 on Bovada)

Warriors vs Kings Best Player Prop

After browsing Bovada’s Warriors vs. Kings player props, I’m taking the Under on Klay Thompson’s 19.5-point total.

As previously mentioned, Thompson has been dreadful this season, averaging 15.0 points on .402/.367/.875 splits across 16 games. Even though he finished with the Over on this prop twice in his last three games, those are the only occurrences of him doing so this season, suggesting they were more of an anomaly than anything.

Furthermore, Thompson is only averaging 16.0 PPG in his last three meetings with the Kings, finishing with the Under each time.

Bet: Klay Thompson u19.5 Points (-120 on Bovada)

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