Alabama vs Ole Miss Basketball Prediction & Picks (2/28): Last Chance Saloon for the Languishing Landsharks?

After winning only 25 games over the past two seasons, Ole Miss is a win away from a 20-win season. But if the Rebels want to cap this turnaround with a ticket to the Big Dance, they will need a strong finish, starting tonight with an upset win over visiting Alabama (9:00 pm ET, ESPN2).

Ole Miss (19-8, 6-8 SEC) was 18-3 overall and 5-3 in the SEC entering February. But the Rebels have dropped five of six, and they are now on the wrong side of the March Madness bubble with many bracketologists.

Alabama may have the same record as Ole Miss, but the Crimson Tide (19-8, 10-4 SEC) don’t have the same worries to contend with. They had a rough day at Rupp Arena on Saturday in a 117-95 loss to Kentucky, but they are still tied for first place in the SEC with Tennessee (21-6, 11-3 SEC), who will be in Tuscaloosa on Saturday (8:00 pm ET, ESPN).

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• March Madness Guide: How to Bet on the NCAA Tournament in 2024

With no other Quad 1 opportunities remaining in the regular season, tonight is a game that the Rebels absolutely must have, even if they win their final three games (Saturday at Missouri, at Georgia next Tuesday, and at home against Texas A&M a week from Saturday).

Will the Tide push them closer to the NIT tonight? Or will the Rebels give their March Madness resume a major boost with a victory over the nation’s 14^th-ranked team? Check out Alabama vs Ole Miss then read on for my prediction and betting picks for the game.

Alabama vs Ole Miss Basketball Odds

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus and bet on tonight’s game and much more.

Spread

• Alabama -5 (-116)
• Ole Miss +5 (-104)

Over/Under

• Over 166.5 (-105)
• Under 166.5 (-115)

Moneyline

• Alabama -225
• Ole Miss +195

Looking for more college hoops picks for tonight’s schedule? Our NCAA basketball picks page features moneyline, spread, and total (over/under) picks for all of tonight’s top games, including this matchup, Auburn vs Tennessee, Oklahoma vs Iowa State, and South Carolina vs Texas A&M.

Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction and Picks

Alabama vs Ole Miss Betting Analysis and Prediction

Of Alabama’s eight losses this season, the worst one (in terms of NET) is to Ohio State, who came in at #66 in today’s rankings.

The other seven are to Clemson (#23), Purdue (#2), Creighton (#13), Arizona (#4), Tennessee (#5), Auburn (#7), and Kentucky (#19).

An upset may well be on the horizon tonight, but based on what Alabama has done to teams slightly above, on, or below the Rebels’ level, the likelihood is rather low.

Indiana State? Gave up 102 points in a 22-point loss. Oregon? Gave up 99 points in an eight-point loss. LSU? Allowed 109 points twice in losing by 21 and 17. Texas A&M? Allowed 100 points in a 25-point loss.

Ole Miss has rather unfortunately picked the worst time of the year to either allow too many points when they manage to have some offensive success or fail to score enough when their defense comes to play.

In Saturday’s 72-59 home loss to South Carolina, Ole Miss shot only 33.3% (18 of 54) from the field, including just 18.8% (3 of 16) from three. They also missed 12 free throws, as they shot only 62.5% (20 of 32) from the line.

The Crimson Tide can occasionally make things harder on themselves than they should, and Saturday’s loss in Lexington was an example of what can happen when they go up against a team that can do what they do as well or better.

But Ole Miss isn’t on that level, and as much as the home crowd will be trying to will the Rebels to a much-needed win, they will go home disappointed.

Alabama vs Ole Miss Betting Picks

Alabama -5 and Alabama/Ole Miss over 166.5

While the Tide are on the road against a desperate team, I still like them to get the cover. Of their 11 SEC wins, only two have not been by at least five points.

Also, the over has hit in Alabama’s last six games and is 20-7 overall this season. That includes a 12-4 mark when the total has been 160 or higher.

Other College Basketball Betting Information

Where Can You Bet on NCAA Basketball?

Throughout the college basketball season, you can find a variety of NCAA basketball odds at the top online sports betting sites like BetDSI, BetOnline, BetUS, Bovada, and MyBookie.

Along with game odds, many sportsbooks offer men’s and women’s March Madness futures odds, Final Four odds, Wooden Award odds, and more.

If you are unfamiliar with any of these sites, check out our sportsbook reviews to learn more about what they all offer. Our reviews analyze available betting options, deposit and payout options, mobile and live betting, and the sportsbook sign-up bonuses and other promos offered.

• BetDSI Sportsbook Review
• BetOnline Sportsbook Review
• BetUS Sportsbook Review
• Bovada Sportsbook Review
• MyBookie Sportsbook Review

Other NCAA Basketball Betting Content

Are you interested in learning more about betting on NCAA basketball? Check out our college basketball betting guide, which covers the basics of wagering on the action from the Mountain West to the MAAC and beyond.

• College Basketball Betting Guide: How to Bet on NCAA Basketball in 2024

Alabama will be part of the $200,000 Bracket Madness contest at BetOnline, but will Ole Miss? Would you like to have the chance to win at least $50,000? Selection Sunday and the start of the contest aren’t until Sunday, March 17. But in the meantime, you can take advantage of their 100% cryptocurrency welcome bonus and build your bankroll for March Madness.