TCU vs Cincinnati Odds and Predictions | January 16, 2024

We are gathered here today for our favorite college sports wagering tradition, fading the storm. Let’s dive into this bad boy!

Back home tonight. ?

?️: https://t.co/GcTHW56ycW#Bearcats | #TheMovement pic.twitter.com/wRnmxJSyH7

— Cincinnati Men’s Hoops (@GoBearcatsMBB) January 16, 2024

TCU vs Cincinnati Betting Odds

Picks in this piece are courtesy of Bovada. At Bovada, you can get great odds on all of the top college basketball matchups every day.

Spread

TCU: (+3.0) (-110)

Cincinnati: (-3.0) (-110)

Total

Over: 151.0 (-110)

Under: 151.0 (-110)

Moneyline

TCU: +130

Cincinnati: -150

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Write Up Transparency

Let’s check in on how I have been doing betting on college hoops since joining Betting News.

• 5-7 (41%)

(As of January 15, 2024)

TCU vs Cincinnati Prediction:

Cincinnati Head Coach, Wes Miller instructing his players

We have gathered here today to fade yet another storm. On Saturday, the Horned Frogs upset No. 2 Houston 68-67. After the game it was pure mayhem, the TCU faithful stormed the court in celebration of the upset victory. Storming the court is like blood in a pool infested with sharks and I am the sharks. I automatically have to do research on this game to see if it worthy of a fade. Let’s see if it is…

#TCU beats No. 2 Houston! pic.twitter.com/yqphvmoCg8

— Jeremy Clark (@JClarkHFB247) January 14, 2024

The Stank:

Coming off back-to-back losses, the Bearcats prepare to get themselves back on track against the TCU Horned Frogs. At home this season Cincinnati is 10-1, their only loss came against Texas. Outside of that one loss, the Bearcats have played some solid ball at home. They are inside the top 100 in a plethora of offensive and defensive categories. Some notable rankings, the Bearcats are seventh in defensive rebound percentage and 32nd in defensive adjusted efficiency, according to Bart Torvik’s rankings. 

Meanwhile, TCU on the road this season is not playing their best ball. Their away/home splits are very different. They are ranked outside of the top 100 in a lot of defensive categories. The Horned Frogs foul a lot, 325th in free throw rate in road/neutral matchups. However, they are still very solid offensively, as they are well inside the top 50 in a lot of offensive categories.

I think the Cincinnati fans will be ready to go Tuesday night, they have a significant home-court advantage. They are 50th in away/home court advantage, according to Haslametrics. We have seen time and time again the impact that fans have had on road teams’ performances. This will be huge for the Bearcats to feed off the energy of the home crowd. Just look at how hungry those Nebraska fans were last week when they hosted Purdue. MAYHEM. 

TCU does prefer to run at a faster pace, but home teams typically own the pace of play. I think this will be one of the more competitive games on the slate, with the Bearcats coming out on top.

Prediction: Cincinnati Wins

Concerns: Cincinnati has not had much success against top 100 schools. However, I am expecting the Horned Frogs to have a bit of an off night coming off their huge victory over the Cougars. Which is why I will happily be taking the Bearcats at home. It is indeed worthy of a fade.

Pick: Cincinnati (-3) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada

Where to find more advanced analytics

If you are looking for advanced analytic websites for college basketball the ones I have mentioned above are my favorite two. They are free and very informative. Ken Pom is another great resource, but sadly you have to pay.

Remember, these are mostly used as a crutch. Do not let these be the end all be all to making wagers. They are not always right with their predictions. Use your plums, trust your gut, and remember you cannot win them all. If you have any questions my socials are below I am always free to discuss anything college hoops. Especially, if it is over a game that will have under 23 people in attendance.

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