Towson vs Charleston Basketball Prediction & Picks (2023 CAA Semifinal)

The College of Charleston Cougars are unlikely to get an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament despite having one of the best records in college basketball, but they can move one win closer to not needing one by beating Towson in the CAA Tournament semis tonight (8:30 pm ET, CBS Sports Network).

The Cougars (29-3, 16-2 CAA), the second seed in the conference tournament, strolled past #10 seed Stony Brook yesterday to set up a semifinal showdown with the third-seeded Tigers (21-11, 12-6 CAA), who played Charleston close in both regular season matchups.

Will the Cougars claim a third win over the Tigers to move on to face either Hofstra or UNC Wilmington? Read on for our Towson vs Charleston basketball prediction and picks.

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Towson vs Charleston Odds

Odds for Towson vs Charleston are via BetOnline as of Monday, March 6, 2023, at 4:30 pm ET.

Spread

• Towson +4.5 (-105)
• Charleston -4.5 (-115)

Over/Under

• Over 149.5 (-110)
• Under 149.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Towson +164
• Charleston -200

Can Towson Keep Up with Charleston Yet Again?

In the two regular season meetings, the Tigers did everything they could to beat the Cougars but couldn’t actually beat the Cougars.

In the first meeting, Towson overcame a 16-point deficit to force overtime, but they managed only five points in OT and fell 76-74.

In the second meeting, the Tigers led by 10 with 13:33 left, but the Cougars rallied for an 83-75 win.

What does tonight have in store? It remains to be seen, but the likelihood is that Towson will have to score more than 75 points if they want to beat Charleston.

Why is that? In yesterday’s 22-point win over Stony Brook, the Cougars managed “only” 74 points. That is an underperformance for a team that is averaging 81.5 PPG this season and scored 92 points against the Seawolves to close out the regular season on February 25.

It’s also an underperformance considering that the Cougars have scored 75+ points in 24 of 32 games this season, including 15 of 19 CAA games. Even more notably, Charleston has not gone consecutive games without scoring 75 points yet.

If the Cougars are able to hit the 75-point mark tonight, Towson will likely be in trouble. The Tigers have allowed 75 or more points only six times this season, but they are 1-5 SU in those six games.

Towson vs Charleston Pre diction and Picks

Tigers vs Cougars Prediction: Charleston to win

Tigers vs Cougars Pick: Charleston team total over 76.5 (Best Value: Bovada Sportsbook) & Towson/Charleston over 149 (Best Value: BetUS)

I think there’s a good possibility that Towson puts in another solid performance against Charleston. But just as the Cougars pulled out the win in both regular season matchups, I expect them to do the same tonight.

I’m not willing to touch the spread here, but I do like the team total over for Charleston, as well as the over for the game. In the six games this season in which Towson has allowed 75 or more points, the over has hit each time.

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