Utah State vs Boise State Basketball Prediction & Picks (2023 MWC Tournament Semifinal)

After seeing a run of three straight trips to the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game end last year, Utah State can return to the title tilt with a semifinal win over Boise State (11:59 pm ET, CBS Sports Network).

Along with moving into tomorrow’s championship contest against either San Jose State or San Diego State, the Aggies (25-7) will all but lock up a NCAA Tournament berth if they beat the second-seeded Broncos (24-8).

However, last year’s regular season and tournament champs won’t be in the business of doing any favors, as they are aiming to land the best possible seed in the March Madness bracket.

Who will take the win in this matchup? Read on for our Utah State vs Boise State basketball prediction and picks.

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Utah State vs Boise State Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Friday, March 10, 2023.

Spread

• Utah State -2.5 (-106)
• Boise State +2.5 (-114)

Over/Under

• Over 144.5 (-115)
• Under 144.5 (-105)

Moneyline

• Utah State -137
• Boise State +114

Will the Overs Continue for Utah State and Boise State?

Both the Aggies and Broncos were part of high-scoring games last night.

An extra period contributed to the scoring in Boise State’s 87-76 win over UNLV, which finished regulation tied at 73 after the Runnin’ Rebels rallied from 22 down to force overtime.

No extra period was required in Utah State’s 91-76 win over New Mexico, as the Aggies were in control most of the way in their win over the Lobos.

Last night’s games continued a run of positive results for overs in games involving both Utah State and Boise State.

In the Broncos’ last eight games, the over is 6-2-0, and it is 14-5-0 in their Mountain West games this season.

The over has hit in each of the Aggies’ last three games, and it is 11-7-1 in their Mountain West games this season.

Both of their head-to-head meetings in the regular season went over. In their meeting in Boise on January 7, the Broncos claimed an 82-59 win that went over the total over 138.5. And in the most recent matchup in Logan last Saturday, Utah State claimed an 86-73 win that went well over the total of 143.5.

Utah State vs Boise State Prediction and Picks

Utah State vs Boise State Prediction: Boise State to win

Utah State vs Boise State Picks: Utah State/Boise State over 144.5 (Best Value: BetOnline & BetMGM) & Boise State +2.5 (Best Value: BetOnline)

Utah State is on fire right now, as they have won and covered in each of their last six games. Boise State’s recent ATS record isn’t pretty, as they are 3-8-1 ATS in their last dozen games, but they have been winning too, going 9-3 SU in that stretch.

The Aggies are certainly rolling at the right time and may be in the March Madness field even if they lose tonight. But I really like the Broncos, who is 6-4 SU and 7-2-1 ATS as an underdog this season in this spot, in addition to the over.

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