Florida vs. Tennessee Betting: Will the Vols pick up a rare win over the Gators?

A fierce rivalry will be renewed on the gridiron on Saturday as the Florida visits Tennessee in Knoxville.

This is a matchup that has not been played for nearly as long as other famous college football rivalries, but there is certainly no love lost between these two teams. With both teams currently ranked, Neyland Stadium is sure to be rocking on Saturday afternoon as the Gators and Vols face off for the 52nd time.

Florida leads the all-time series 31-20, but Tennessee got off to an 11-win head start. Since their annual matchups started in 1990, Florida has won 25 of 32 meetings, including each of the last five and 16 of the last 17.

But this year’s contest represents an excellent chance for Tennessee to grab their 21st win in the series. The Vols are off to a 3-0 start and ranked in the top 15, while Florida is 2-1 and coming off of a rather fortunate win over South Florida.

Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Florida Gators (2-1, 0-1 SEC, #20 AP/#22 Coaches) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (3-0, 0-0 SEC, #11 AP/#12 Coaches)
• Venue & Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
• Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022
• Game Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time
• How to Watch Florida vs. Tennessee: CBS

Florida vs. Tennessee Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline. This article may also mention odds from our other recommended online sportsbooks.

Spread

• Florida +10.5 (-108)
• Tennessee -10.5 (-112)

Over/Under

• Over 62.5 (-110)
• Under 62.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Florida +315
• Tennessee -410

Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction and Betting Picks

Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction: Tennessee to win

Florida vs. Tennessee Picks: Florida +10.5 (Best Value: -109 at BetUS) & Florida/Tennessee over 62.5 (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline & BetMGM)

Based on what we have seen thus far from each team, the Vols should be favored, so that comes as no surprise here.

The Gators are closer to being 0-3 than they are to being 3-0. Through three games, Anthony Richardson has no touchdown passes and four interceptions, and he is completing just 53.2 percent of his passes.

After leading UF to a thrilling win over Utah to open the season, Richardson was being lauded as a Heisman Trophy candidate, but it is fair to say that talk has quieted down thanks to his performances against Kentucky and USF.

Game-by-Game Numbers for Anthony Richardson

• Utah: 17 of 24 (70.8%), 168 yards (7.0 yards per attempt), 0 TD, 0 INT
• Kentucky: 14 of 35 (40%), 143 yards (4.1 yards per attempt), 0 TD, 2 INT
• South Florida: 10 of 18 (55.5%), 112 yards (6.2 yards per attempt), 0 TD, 2 INT

Not only is Richardson not throwing the ball well, but his playmaking ability as a runner has also been neutralized since he ran for 106 yards and three scores against Utah. He managed only four yards on six attempts against Kentucky, then tallied just 24 yards on seven attempts against USF.

All that said, while it is also not surprising that Tennessee is favored by a sizable margin, it’s hard to look at the history of the rivalry and be confident in backing them to cover.

Yes, the Vols certainly have a lot of frustration to unleash on the Gators, and this is as good a time to do it.

Yes, the Gators’ last two games have been pretty unsightly.

And yes, Tennessee is at home, and there’s nothing to indicate that a team that has looked so bad at home will be able to handle a very hostile, very loud environment at Neyland Stadium.

But while I do think that Tennessee will pick up a rare win in this rivalry, there’s just as much chance that this will be the weekend that Richardson and the Gators wake up, because rivalry games often don’t make sense.

Also, while high-scoring games are a rarity in this rivalry, I do like the over to hit on Saturday. Along with a lack of faith in either team’s defense, if Tennessee does happen to take control, don’t expect much in the way of mercy.

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