No. 23 Kansas State vs No. 7 Texas Prediction, Odds & Picks – NCAAF Week 10: Massive Big 12 Showdown

The 2023 NCAA college football season has a lot more action in store as we reach Week 10 on the schedule. Saturday, Nov. 4 is loaded with big-time matchups, including the Big 12 showdown between the No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats and No. 7 Texas Longhorns at noon ET.

Here's how Kansas State and Texas compare in their last 6 matchups ⬇️? pic.twitter.com/GYTb1KQQTQ

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 2, 2023

Kansas State is gunning for its fourth victory in a row after securing a massive 41-0 win over Houston last week. Meanwhile, Texas won its second consecutive game in the form of a 35-6 victory against BYU.

When it comes to BetOnline’s futures odds, the Longhorns are the +100 favorites to win the Big 12 while the Wildcats come in at No. 3 with +600 odds.

If you’re looking to wager on this Big 12 clash, this Kansas State vs. Texas betting preview has everything you need — the latest NCAAF odds, trends, a matchup prediction, and the best bets you can make on Saturday.

Kansas State vs Texas Preview (NCAAF Week 10)

Wildcats vs. Longhorns Game Information

• Matchup: No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats (6-2, 4-1 Big 12) vs. No. 7 Texas Longhorns (7-1, 4-1 Big 12)
• Venue & Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
• Date: Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023
• Game Time: 12 p.m. Eastern Time
• Kansas State vs. Texas TV Channel: FOX

Kansas State vs Texas Odds & Spread

NCAAF odds courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, Nov. 3 at 10:23 a.m. ET from. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Kansas State Wildcats +4 (-110)
• Texas Longhorns -4 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 49 Points (-110)
• Under 49 Points (-110)

Moneyline

• Kansas State Wildcats (+155)
• Texas Longhorns (-175)

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More NCAAF Predictions & Picks

• College Football Week 10 Preview & Best Bets
• 2023 Heisman Trophy Odds

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Kansas State vs Texas Betting Trends

• Kansas State is 0-6 straight up in its last six games vs. Texas.
• Texas is 5-0 straight up in its last five home games.
• Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Big 12 matchups.
• Texas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games vs. Kansas State.
• The total has hit the Over in four of Kansas State’s last six road games.
• The total has hit the Under in seven of Texas’ last 10 games vs. Kansas State.

Kansas State vs Texas Prediction & Pick— NCAAF Week 10

Saturday’s incoming collision will impact the Big 12 standings. Heading into Week 10, Kansas State and Texas are in a five-way tie — along with Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Iowa — for first place with matching 4-1 conference records.

If history can be trusted, the Longhorns are in a good spot to break that tie this weekend. After all, they’ve won their last six meetings with the Wildcats dating back to 2017.

Having said that, five of those six victories were decided by one possession. The only time that Texas won by more than seven points during that stretch was a 69-31 blowout win on the road back on Dec. 5, 2020.

Nevertheless, it’ll be interesting to see which Big 12 offense prevails. The Longhorns and Wildcats are two of the highest-scoring teams in the country, averaging 34.5 (No. 15) and 36.3 (No. 12) points per game, respectively.

Both teams rank inside of the top 32 when it comes to rushing yards per game, but Texas has the edge through the air where the Longhorns average 274.1 passing yards (No. 32) to the Wildcats’ 221.3 (No. 73).

With Quinn Ewers sidelined with a shoulder injury, Maalik Murphy will start under center for Texas. The freshman quarterback was decent against BYU last week, completing 64.0% of passes for 170 yards and two touchdowns with one interception.

Meanwhile, it’s up to Will Howard to lead Kansas State’s passing game. While a strong run game means he doesn’t have to put up big numbers, Howard has still looked hot lately, throwing for 318 yards and five TDs with a 75.8% completion rate in his last two games.

In what should be a competitive affair, I’m taking Kansas State to pull off the upset. Texas is great, but it’s harder to trust the Longhorns as long as Ewers is hurt. It doesn’t help that Murphy has to go against a strong Wildcats defense in his second-ever NCAA start.

Even if Texas manages to secure a victory, taking Kansas State on the spread is still the best game bet. After all, the last three meetings between these teams in Austin were decided by six or fewer points.

Kansas State vs. Texas Prediction: TEX wins

Best Game Bet: KSU +4 (-110 on BetOnline)

Kansas State vs Texas Best Player Prop

When it comes to the best Kansas State vs. Texas player prop, I like the idea of Longhorns RB Jonathon Brooks rushing for more than 98.5 yards.

The sophomore rusher has been electric lately, averaging a whopping 135.5 rushing yards in his last six outings. He hit the Over on this prop five times during that and even though he missed it once, he still rushed for 98 yards in that game.

With four performances of 106-plus rushing yards this season, look for Brooks to make good on this prop again — especially with Texas likely handing him the ball more for the duration of Ewers’ injury.

Bet: Jonathon Brooks o98.5 Rushing Yards (-114 on BetOnline)

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