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NCAAF Betting: Who Will Be Fired First Billy Napier or Mike Norvell?
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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A new prop on BetOnline asks, “Who will be fired first?” featuring Florida’s head coach Billy Napier and Florida State’s Mike Norvell. Although Norvell wasn’t on yesterday’s list of likely fired coaches, I noted his potential inclusion. This morning, his name appeared on a new prop.
Let’s examine these odds to see if there’s value in betting on either coach to be fired first.
Mike Norvell is now +300 on @BetOnline_ag to be the first coach fired, trailing Florida’s Billy Napier. ? pic.twitter.com/CRuOgl7aei
— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) September 5, 2024
First NCAAF Coach to Be Fired Odds
Florida head coach, Billy Napier flustered with team
The following NCAAF First Coach fired odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Sep. 4 at 1:42 p.m. ET.
- Billy Napier, Florida (-500)
- Mike Norvell (+300)
Get 50% up to $1,000 on your NCAAF First Coach Fired picks today at BetOnline
First NCAAF Coach to Be Fired Odds
The following NCAAF First Coach fired odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Sep. 4 at 10:42 a.m. ET.
- Billy Napier, Florida (-300)
- Sam Pittman, Arkansas (+200)
- Dave Aranda, Baylor (+700)
- Kalani Sitake, BYU (+1400)
- Tony Elliott, Virginia (+1600)
- Ryan Day, Ohio State (+2000)
- Justin Wilcox, Cal (+2000)
- Scott Satterfield, Cincinnati (+2000)
- Mario Cristobal, Miami (+2000)
- Shane Beamer, South Carolina (+2000)
- Neal Brown, West Virginia (+2000)
- Dabo Swinney, Clemson (+2000)
- Pat Narduzzi, Pitt (+2200)
- Clark Lea, Vanderbilt (+2500)
- Brent Venables, Oklahoma (+3300)
- Mike Locksley, Maryland (+3300)
- Lincoln Riley, USC (+4000)
- Deion Sanders, Colorado (+4000)
Get 50% up to $1,000 on your NCAAF First Coach Fired picks today at BetOnline
Is There Value Taking Norvell?
Florida head coach Billy Napier’s odds at -500 seem accurate given his tenure. The Gators have struggled under Napier, with an 11-15 record over the past three seasons and only one bowl appearance, which ended in a loss to Oregon State in the 2022 Las Vegas Bowl.
The 2024 season started poorly with a blowout loss to Miami at home. Florida still faces tough games against #14 Tennessee, #1 Georgia, #3 Texas, #18 LSU, and #6 Ole Miss. The Gators lack the talent to compete effectively with these top-ranked SEC teams.
In contrast, Florida State has also stumbled, starting the season 0-2 with losses to Georgia Tech in Dublin and Boston College at home. The significant investment in quarterback DJ Uiagalelei seems to be yielding little return so far. This follows an undefeated 2023 season where they felt they were unjustly left out of the College Football Playoff.
The Seminoles’ remaining schedule includes #25 Clemson at home, #12 Miami on the road, and #5 Notre Dame in South Bend. Florida State’s schedule is less demanding compared to Florida’s. Given the weaker ACC and the challenges facing Napier’s squad, Norvell should have a better chance to turn things around.
Overall, I would stay away from this prop. Napier is more likely to be the first to lose his job, and there’s no value in betting on -500. Norvell’s odds aren’t high enough to be compelling for me personally.
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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