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Oklahoma vs #18 Ole Miss: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Oklahoma Sooners Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+19.5
-110
49
-110o
+700
Ole Miss Rebels Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-18.5
-115
49
-105u
-950
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe SEC brings us fantastic matchups every single week, and this Saturday we’ve got an early battle in Oxford as the Ole Miss Rebels host the Oklahoma Sooners in their first meeting in this conference. Both teams are coming off a loss, and the Rebels are also coming off a bye week.
Ole Miss lost an overtime contest in Baton Rouge to LSU on October 12th, their 2nd loss in the SEC. Their College Football Playoff hopes won’t exist with another loss, so they certainly need to bring their A-game this week at home. Jaxson Dart is playing very good even in his losses, and the defense should step up against a Sooners offense that can’t produce much.
In the past two weeks, the Sooners have put up a combined 12 points. They’ve allowed 69 to Texas and South Carolina, and now they have to go into enemy territory and try to slow down a very electric offense. The Sooners seem to have tons of issues surrounding both sides of the ball, and I think they have much bigger problems than this game against the Rebels. The Sooners season is over, they’re playing in another meaningless bowl game, so who cares about this one, right?
Oklahoma Sooners vs Ole Miss Rebels: Sooners Go To Oxford
Matchup Information – Oklahoma vs Ole Miss
- Venue & Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford, MS)
- Date: Saturday, October 26th, 2024
- Kick Off: 12:00pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Odds
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Spread
- Oklahoma +20 (-110)
- Ole Miss -20 (-110)
Money Line
- Oklahoma +790
- Ole Miss -1300
Total
- Over 49 (-110)
- Under 49 (-110)
Will Dart and Rebels Bounce Back at Home?
This is not a time I would want to face the Ole Miss Rebels. They are coming off a tough, overtime loss on the road. After sitting with that loss for over a week, Lane Kiffin surely got his boys fired up and ready to roll for this second half of the season. On the other side, Oklahoma is not playing well at all. Putting up just 6 points per game while allowed 34.5 is not going to get the job done, and respectfully, South Carolina is not as good as Ole Miss on either side of the ball.
Oklahoma put up a stinker at home last week, they did it on a neutral site the week before, and this week, I expect them to put up a stinker on the road.
Now, 20 points is a lot. And I am not rushing to bet the Rebels, as I already need a win for my season win total ticket. I glance at their Team Total but also think it is a bit too high for my liking. However, one thing doesn’t change in my thinking, this game belongs to the Rebels. The Sooners have not looked good in a single game this season except against Temple. They barely beat a bad Houston team, and look horrendous in their losses. While I do think they can find a way to cover the large number, I have no reason to back Oklahoma in this one.
I’ve got my coin on a player prop, and no, it’s not backing Dart again.
Oklahoma Sooners vs Ole Miss Rebels Best Bets
Oklahoma vs Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss Wins, Oklahoma Covers, Over 49
Best Bets: Henry Parrish Jr. Over 62.5 (-115) Bovada
We are betting on Ole Miss to dominate, resulting in plenty of touches from Mr. Parrish. Now I will endorse Jaxson Dart over his 28.5 rushing yards as well, but I opted to back the RB tonight.
Oklahoma struggles to stop the run. They only give up 110 yards per contest, but that number inflates to 160 on the road this year. In terms of yards per rush, they allowed 2.9 this season, but again, that number jumps up to 4.4 on the road.
Parrish has cleared this line in 4/7 games this season, including ending on exactly 62 against Kentucky. He’s running for 5.8 yards per carry and over 15 touches per game, which should surely be enough to get us over this line. Parrish has covered this number in as little as 13 carries, but also post 165 yards on 14 carries earlier this year. I think this guy has close to 20 carries on Saturday as he does not split carries whatsoever.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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