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#9 Ole Miss vs #2 Georgia, Prediction: Bulldog Defense vs Dart in Athens
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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We get a Top 10 SEC Showdown in Athens as the #2 Georgia Bulldogs host the #9 Ole Miss Rebels. Two teams with their hearts set on making an SEC Championship game, but only one can walk away with the win on Saturday.
This marquee matchup will be featured on ESPN, as College Gameday heads down south to cover this SEC contest.
Both teams combine for 17 total wins and just 1 loss on the year, can Georgia stay undefeated? Or will Lane Kiffin and the Rebels upset the #2 Team in the country?
Let’s break this game down and find our best bets for Saturday!
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Ole Miss vs Georgia Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Sanford Stadium (Athens, GA)
- Date: Saturday, November 11th, 2023
- Kick Off: 7:00pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Odds
Spread
- Ole Miss +11 (-110)
- Georgia -11 (-110)
Moneyline
- Ole Miss +335
- Georgia -450
Total
- Over 58 (-110)
- Under 58 (-110)
Free NCAAF Picks: Ole Miss vs Georgia
This will be Jaxson Dart’s first game against this Georgia Bulldogs defense, and man, will this be a tough task.
The Bulldogs Defense only allows QBs to throw for 189 yards per game, and only 285 yards total. I think Dart will have to air it out plenty, so I’ll be targeting one of his props.
I’ll get to that in a minute, but I have to say, 11 points seems like too many in a Top 10 showdown.
Even if Georgia seems head and shoulders above Ole Miss, is 8-1, with their lone loss coming at Alabama in Week 4. They’ve won 5 straight since then, scoring an average of 36.2 PPG in that stretch.
The Bulldogs will have to slowdown the Rebels offense, and rely on Carson Beck to be able to put up some points.
All in all, 58 points seems like a lot with the home team being so defensive minded, so I like this one to stay well under the total.
The Pick: Ole Miss/UGA Under 58 (-110) Bovada
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NCAAF Player Props: Ole Miss vs Georgia
Jaxson Dart over 221.5 Passing Yards (-115) Bovada
Dart has cleared this line in 7/9 contests this year, including throwing for 387 last game. He’s plenty of a threat with his legs, but I expect Georgia to do a good job spying him, limiting his ability to scramble.
I also expect Ole Miss to throw the ball more in order to keep up the pace of this football game.
Dart has cleared this number two out of three times on the road, and threw for 202 yards @ Auburn a couple games ago.
He’s cleared this number on as little as 10 completions and 16 attempts, but he’s cleared in 100% of games where he throws the ball at least 26 times.
I think he airs it out plenty on Saturday in Athens, and I think 222 yards is more than attainable.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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