Oregon State vs. Washington Betting: Friday night fireworks for Penix and the Huskies?

While realignment still hangs over the conference, this college football season is going rather well for the Pac-12, with Oregon, USC, UCLA, Utah, Oregon State, and Washington all at 6-2 or better entering this week.

The first five of that bunch were all a part of this week’s initial College Football Playoff rankings reveal, while Washington almost certainly will find themselves in next week’s rankings if they can defeat #23 Oregon State tomorrow night at Husky Stadium.

Former Washington assistant Jonathan Smith left Seattle to become head coach at his alma mater in 2018, and he has the Beavers thriving in his fifth season back in Corvallis.

The Huskies, meanwhile, are flourishing under first-year coach Kalen DeBoer and Indiana transfer Michael Penix Jr., who leads the FBS in passing yards.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Oregon State Beavers (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12, #23 CFP, #24 AP) vs. Washington Huskies (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12)
• Venue & Location: Husky Stadium (Seattle, Washington)
• Date: Friday, November 4, 2022
• Game Time: 10:30 p.m. Eastern Time (7:30 p.m. local time)
• How to Watch Oregon State vs. Washington: ESPN2

Oregon State vs. Washington Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline as of Thursday, November 3 at 10:15 a.m. Eastern.

Spread

• Oregon State +4.5 (-115)
• Washington -4.5 (-105)

Over/Under

• Over 54.5 (-110)
• Under 54.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Oregon State +152
• Washington -184

Oregon State vs. Washington Prediction and Best Bets

Oregon State vs. Washington Prediction: Washington to win

Oregon State vs. Washington Best Bets: Washington to cover (Best Value: -4.5 @ -105 at BetOnline) & Washington team total over (Best Value: over 29.5 @ -118 at BetUS)

Home advantage has proven to be pretty valuable in the Pac-12 this season and throughout college football in many games between good teams.

Washington’s losses were at UCLA and Arizona State in back-to-back weeks, while Oregon State’s losses came in a near-upset of USC in Corvallis and at Utah the following week.

I expect home advantage to be decisive in this matchup as well. Oregon State’s defense has had some impressive performances this season, but I don’t see them shutting down the Huskies, who have scored at least 39 points in each of their five home games so far this season.

Home and Away Splits for Michael Penix Jr.

• Home (five games): 128 of 187 (68.4%), 1904 yards (10.2 yards per attempt), 16 TD, INT
• Away (three games): 102 of 152 (67.1%), 1030 yards (6.8 yards per attempt), 6 TD, 3 INT

Penix has yet to be sacked at home this season, and with plenty of time to find his favorite targets Rome Odunze (50 catches, 756 yards, 6 TD) and Jalen McMillan (45 catches, 611 yards, 6 TD) –Oregon State has just 13 sacks this season–he should have another big night in a win for Washington.

Also, Washington’s strength on the other side of the ball is its rushing defense, which is 19th in the FBS in yards allowed per carry (3.3 yards per carry) and 20th in yards allowed per game (110.4). That unit is capable of neutralizing a ground game that is 26th in the country in yards per carry (4.9), 29th in yards per game (194.9), and tied for 14th in rushing touchdowns (21).

If you are looking beyond the sides and totals, BetOnline has some solid player prop options for this matchup as well.

• Michael Penix Jr. (over 323.5 passing yards @ -114): Penix has thrown for at least 309 yards in every game this season and has gone over this number six times.
• Jalen McMillan (over 59.5 receiving yards @ -114): With Odunze getting plenty of attention, McMillan could have a huge game. He has gone over this number six times this season and had exactly 59 yards against Stanford. If he is around or above his season averages in catches per game (5.6) and yards per catch (13.6), he’ll finish over this number comfortably.

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