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#17 Tennessee vs #11 Alabama, Prediction & Best Bets: Top 25 SEC Matchup
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The Crimson Tide host the Volunteers in a Top 25 SEC contest for the ages! It’s Tennessee against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium!
Both one loss teams come into this game hoping to somehow sneak their way into the SEC Championship, although Alabama does control their own destiny in the West.
It’s going to be a great matchup, so let’s dive in!
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Tennessee vs Alabama Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (Tuscaloosa, AL)
- Date: Saturday, October 21st, 2023
- Kick Off: 3:30pm Eastern
- Broadcast: CBS
Betting Odds
Spread
- Tennessee +9 (-110)
- Alabama -9 (-110)
Moneyline
- Tennessee +285
- Alabama -370
Total
- Over 47.5 (-110)
- Under 47.5 (-110)
Free NCAAF Picks: Tennessee vs Alabama
Neither of these defenses give up very many points. Tennessee allows 17.8 ranking them 15th, while the Tide allow 16, ranking 11th. This could very well be a hard nosed, defensive ball game.
Milton can sling the pigskin, but he only averages 210 yards per game. He only threw the ball 22 times in last week’s win against Texas A&M, and with Alabama’s secondary, they could look to run the ball more and chew some clock on the road.
With how well these defenses are, and the lack of stellar offense we’ve seen when these two teams face such opponents, I’m betting on the under.
In this conference game, I look for Tennessee to possess the ball, take it out of Alabama and Nick Saban’s hands, and try to control the game that way.
Pounding the ground could help the Volunteers, setting them up for a big play late with Milton’s arm.
The Pick: Tenn/Bama Under 47.5 (-110) BetOnline
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NCAA Football Player Props: Tennessee vs Alabama
Jaylen Wright over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Bovada
Like I said, I think Tennessee runs the ball plenty, giving this guy a multitude of touches.
So far this season, Wright has cleared 60+ rushing yards in 5/6 games, posting 100+ 4 separate times.
He averages 6.9 yards per carry, and 13.3 carries per game. Wright has busted off a 20+ yard rush in 4/6 games, and has cleared this number in as little as 12 carries.
I think we see 15+ carries from him, assuming the Volunteers keep it close, so 60+ should be no problem. This is almost a 2U play from me, but I’ll hold off just in case Alabama really comes to play.
This is a tough front 7 to run against, as they only allow 3 yards per carry. However, I trust Wright to break some tackles, make the right cuts, and get us over this number.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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