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#7 Tennessee vs #12 Georgia: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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The SEC is always a gauntlet but especially this season. There are currently 9 teams in the conference ranked in the AP Top 25, along with 6 inside of the Top 15 teams. No one needs a win more than these Georgia Bulldogs, and they look to bounce back this weekend against the Tennessee Volunteers. Let’s look at the SEC Rankings real quick.
Current SEC Standings
- #7 Tennessee: 5-1, 8-1
- #15 Texas A&M: 5-1, 7-2
- #3 Texas: 4-1, 8-1
- #12 Georgia: 5-2, 7-2
- #11 Ole Miss: 4-2, 8-2
- #10 Alabama: 4-2, 8-2
- #23 Missouri: 3-2, 7-2
- #22 LSU: 3-2, 6-3
- #21 South Carolina: 4-3, 6-3
The Volunteers control their own way into the SEC Title game, but a loss to Georgia would definitely shake things up. It is highly likely that we finish with six (6) 10-2 teams in the SEC, maybe even 7 (Don’t want Mizzou to feel left out, even though they ain’t making the playoff). This would involve Georgia beating Tennessee this weekend, and Texas dropping one to Arkansas or Kentucky before beating A&M in the season finale.
Personally, I root for this kind of chaos, and the fact that the Georgia Bulldogs are double digit favorites against a very good Tennessee team is a little telling to me. Let’s get into it.
#7 Tennessee Volunteers vs #12 Georgia Bulldogs: Dawgs Host Vols in Athens
Nico Iamaleava can lead the Volunteers to their first SEC Championship game since 2007
Matchup Information – Tennessee vs Georgia
- Venue & Location: Sanford Stadium (Athens, GA)
- Date: Saturday, November 16th, 2024
- Kick Off: 7:30pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ABC
Betting Odds
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Spread
- Tennessee +11 (-110)
- Georgia -11 (-110)
Money Line
- Tennessee +320
- Georgia -400
Total
- Over 48.5 (-102)
- Under 48.5 (-118)
Will Bulldogs Bounce Back at Home?
Trevor Etienne and the Dawgs host the Volunteers this Saturday
Like I said, Georgia needs this win. A loss would more than likely eliminate the Bulldogs from reaching the SEC Championship, and thus the College Football Playoff (If the season ended RIGHT NOW, the Bulldogs would miss the field of 12).
Sure, Georgia is at home, but should they really be double digit favorites against the 7th ranked Volunteers?
Nico Iamaleava is in concussion protcol, but Josh Heupel says he should be ready to go on Saturday. Regardless, he will be in enemy territory facing one of the best defenses in the country. Lucky for him, he’s got a great defense on his sideline as well. The Bulldogs and Volunteers are both Top 20 in scoring defense this season, with Georgia allowing 20.4 (19th), and Tennessee giving up 13.8 (5th). Those numbers change slightly on the road or at home for those squads, both moving in Georgia’s favor.
The problem for the Bulldogs has been the offense. Ole Miss’ defense is comparable to Tennessee’s in terms of scoring, and the Bulldogs produced just 10 points last week. Sure it was on the road, but they turned the ball over 3 times, and Beck has a pick in his last 4 games. In fact, he has 9 interceptions over his last 4 games, and was sacked 5 times against the Rebels. Against a team that puts up over 33 points per game, you would think the Bulldogs will need to score in order to win this one, but that certainly won’t come easy.
I absolutely love the under in this game. I think it’s a defensive slugfest, with both units showing their full potential. I’ll be monitoring the total, but it has quickly steamed down from 53.5 to 48.5 where it sits now. Personally I would want 49.5 at least to consider it, and I think we may have missed out. No worries, we can sit out the total, I’ll pivot elsewhere.
#7 Tennessee Volunteers vs #12 Georgia Bulldogs Best Bets
Tennessee will keep Georgia off the scoreboard this weekend
Tennessee vs Georgia Prediction: Georgia Wins, Tennessee Covers, Under 48.5
Best Bets: Georgia TT Under 28.5 (-110) BetOnline
This Tennessee Volunteers defense is very, very good. They ranked 7th in yards per game, giving up 277 and just 266 on the road, while ranking 5th in points per game allowed, giving up less than 14 and just over on the road. I see them leading this Volunteers team this weekend with a banged up quarterback. Ultimately, I don’t see the Dawgs reaching 30, and I think it will only take 21-24 points to win this football game.
Not only have the Volunteers not allowed 28 points in a game this season, they haven’t even allowed 20. Even in their loss to the Hogs, Arkansas only scored 19 points at home and beat the Vols with their defense. If Georgia wins this weekend, it will be because of their defense.
Georgia ranks 50th in points per game, scoring 28.4 overall this season but just 25.8 at home. Alabama ranks 10th, the Vols held them to 17. Now, this is going to be one of the best offenses they’ve seen this year, but I still trust them to contain the turnover machine that is Carson Beck. I will be crossing my fingers for no special teams or defensive TDs for the Dawgs, but I do not see their offense being able to score more than 4 touchdowns.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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