Texas A&M vs Florida: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (9/14)

The SEC is starting off conference play very early this season as the Gators host the Aggies down in the swamp. After losing their first games, both Texas A&M and Florida bounced back in Week 2, solidifying a win and moving to 1-1 on the season. But now the real party starts, as both teams meet in the 3rd week of the season to battle it out conference style.

The Aggie hosted Notre Dame in their opener and were unfortunately beaten by the Irish. They held Notre Dame to just 23 points, but only put up 13 of their own as their offense failed to produce many points. However they certainly looked better last weekend as they routed McNeese State for a 52-10 confidence building victory. Connoer Weigman didn’t play much, but he was 11/14 for 125 yards and 2 TDs while adding 39 yards on the ground as well. If there’s one thing about this Aggies team, it’s that they will make it hard for you to score. They’ve allowed just 16.5 points per contest so far this year, but things might be different away from home.

The Gators were blown out by Miami in their opener at the Swamp, and lost QB Graham Mertz to an injury. That might’ve been for the best, as DJ Lagway came in and blew the doors off of the Samford secondary. The freshman QB threw for 456 yards and 3 TDs, while adding 16 yards on the ground as well. Could the young stud turn the season around for the Gators? He saw the Miami defense for a few plays in Week 1, but he will have a big test against the Aggies front 7 who are ready to make some noise in Florida.

Can Texas A&M beat Florida in the Swamp? Or will the Gators and Lagway send the Aggies packing with an L?

Check out our #20 Arizona vs #14 Kansas State Preview!

Texas A&M vs Florida: SEC Matchup in the Swamp

Matchup Information – Texas A&M vs Florida

• Venue & Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Gainesville, FL)
• Date: Saturday, September 14th, 2024
• Kick Off: 3:30pm Eastern
• Broadcast: ABC

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Texas A&M -3.5 (-105)
• Florida +3.5 (-115)

Money Line

• Texas A&M -165
• Florida +145

Total

• Over 47 (-110)
• Under 47 (-110)

Check out our Arizona State vs Texas State Preview!

Aggies and Gators Look to Bounce Back

The entire Florida Offense relies on kid that turned 19 a month ago. He is being asked to save Billy Napier’s job, and lead this Gator’s offense to a successful football season. That is a lot of pressure for a true freshman. Especially considering this game he will face a REAL defense. And by REAL defense, I mean a REALLY GOOD defense.

Although the Aggies lost to Notre Dame at home, they held them to just 23 points and forced 2 interceptions. They gave up 198 yards on the ground, but Florida is not a team to run it down your throats, especially after losing transfer Trevor Etiene. Montrell Johnson Jr. has just 26 carries for 173 yards this season, but he does have 3 TDs. When they get near the goal line, the Gators are prone to run the ball, but they will have trouble getting it there against this Texas A&M secondary. The Aggies have allowed less than 100 yards through the air per game through 2 contests. Riley Leonard only threw for 158, and I see the true freshman, Lagway, struggling as well, even being at the Swamp.

Mike Elko is a very defensive minded coach, and is great at creating schemes to disrupt opposing quarterbacks. As for the Gators defense, they didn’t look good against Miami, but I lost plenty of faith in Weigman after his showing against Notre Dame. Although Florida’s defense might not compare to that of the Irish, the hostile environment of the Swamp should surely take him out of his comfort zone. Plus I don’t trust the Aggies offense that much either.

What I do trust is their defense, and Florida’s playing a mediocre QB at Ben Hill Griffin. I think this turns into a real defensive matchup resulting in a low scoring game.

Texas A&M Aggies vs Florida Gators Best Bets

Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction: Texas A&M Wins, Florida Covers, Under 47

Best Bets: Texas A&M/Florida Under 47 (-110) BetOnline

Fade the offenses and back the defenses with me this Saturday. I’ve glazed the Aggies defense plenty every time I’ve written about them, but for good reason. The defense did not lose Texas A&M their opening game, it was all on an offense that couldn’t score a touchdown until the 4th quarter. Texas A&M’s defense has come to play both games, and I see nothing changing as they travel to Florida. The Aggies have more than enough playmakers on the defensive side of the ball to create chaos for Lagway as he faces his first true test as a Division 1 Quarterback.

As mentioned, I don’t really fear the Aggies’ offense. Yes, the Gators defense looked like Swiss cheese against Miami, but they only allowed a TD to Samford, and Texas A&M’s offense is much lower than the Hurricanes in my personal rankings. The Gators should be fine in holding Weigman and company to less than 28 points. Texas A&M also has more to play more, in terms of potentially sneaking into the playoff. Their ceiling is much higher than Florida’s and with an easier SEC schedule, I could see them going on a run thanks to their defense. Ultimately, I see this being a low scoring game, so give me the under as the Aggies win this game by a field goal, 20-17.

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