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Broncos vs Bills Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 10 MNF: Buffalo Gets Back to Business
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
Denver Broncos Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+8.0
-105
47
-105u
+320
Buffalo Bills Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-7.5
-110
47
-110o
-380
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After a thrilling Sunday slate, the NFL Week 10 schedule comes to an end as the slumping Buffalo Bills host the Denver Broncos for a Monday Night Football flash at Highmark Stadium.
The Broncos are coming off a shocking 24-9 win over the Kansas City Chiefs, marking back-to-back wins for the first time this season. Meanwhile, the Bills hope a return home helps after falling 24-18 to the Cincinnati Bengals last week.
These teams are heading in the opposite direction regarding Bovada’s Super Bowl LVIII odds. Buffalo currently holds the ninth-best odds (+1600) to go on a championship run while Denver is much further back in a tie for 24th (+25000).
Focusing on the present, let’s dive into the Week 10 MNF betting preview, where we’ll go over the latest NFL odds and trends before getting into my Broncos vs Bills prediction and best bets.
Broncos vs Bills Preview — NFL Week 10 MNF
Broncos vs Bills Matchup Information
- Matchup: Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 Away) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-4, 4-1 Home)
- Venue & Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
- Date: Monday, Nov. 13, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Broncos vs. Bills Week 10 TV Channel: ABC, ESPN
Broncos vs Bills Odds & Spread
NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Monday, Nov. 13 at 8:46 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Broncos vs Bills Spread
- Denver Broncos +7 (-105)
- Buffalo Bills -7 (-115)
Broncos vs Bills Over/Under
- Over 47.5 Points (-110)
- Under 47.5 Points (-110)
Broncos vs Bills Moneyline
- Denver Broncos (+275)
- Buffalo Bills (-350)
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Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends
- Denver is 1-7 straight up in its last eight road games.
- Buffalo is 16-3 straight up in its last 19 home games.
- Denver is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games vs. Buffalo.
- Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.
- The total has hit the Over in nine of Denver’s last 13 games.
- The total has hit the Over in seven of Buffalo’s last 10 games vs. Denver.
Broncos vs Bills Prediction & Best Bet: NFL Week 10 MNF
Nobody was expecting the Broncos to beat the Chiefs last week, but here we are. Denver did an excellent job at holding Kansas City out of the end zone, limiting its AFC West rival to three field goals and 4.8 yards per play.
While winning back-to-back games is impressive, it’s worth noting that the Broncos’ last two wins came at home. They’re back on the road tonight where they’ve struggled to get the job done this year.
The Broncos are 1-2 through three away contests with that lone victory coming against the lowly Bears. They were outscored 89-28 in their two road losses, which includes only mustering a measly eight points in their latest away outing on Oct. 12.
Although the Bills haven’t been played well lately, they’re still 4-1 at Highmark Stadium in 2023. They score 31.0 PPG (T-No. 4) while only surrendering 14.3 PPG (No. 5) at home — good for a plus-16.8 average scoring margin (No. 3).
Even though the Bills are just 0-5 ATS in their last five games, there are trends working in their favor. For starters, they’ve covered the spread in seven straight outings against the Broncos. Buffalo emerged victorious in five of those outings, winning by an average of 17.8 points.
On top of that, Denver owns an uninspiring 2-5-1 ATS record this season, which includes going 0-2-1 ATS on the road. The Broncos clearly aren’t a team that can consistently keep games as close as projected.
Besides, the Bills have yet to lose back-to-back games this season, going 3-0 with a plus-13 average point margin following a loss.
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With the Broncos unlikely to keep their momentum going forever, I’m taking the Bills to win at home. Buffalo is due for a statement performance and if history is any indication, Denver is the perfect opponent to help make that happen.
A 7-point spread is wide, but the Bills can cover. They play some of their best football at Highmark Stadium, where they’re 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Broncos. Considering how Denver has yet to cover on the road, too, I like Buffalo winning by more than a touchdown.
Broncos vs Bills Prediction: BUF wins
Bet: BUF -7 (-115 on Bovada)
Broncos vs Bills Best Player Prop: NFL Week 10 MNF
Looking for a Broncos vs. Bills prop bet? Look no further than a Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown.
The former Maryland product has been money this season, tallying seven TDs in nine games. On top of most recently finding the end zone last week, Diggs has also has four touchdowns in his last three home games.
Considering how the Broncos have allowed the 12th-most TDs to wideouts despite playing one or two games fewer than every team ahead of them, I like Diggs’ odds of hitting paydirt tonight.
Bet: Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (-112 on Bovada)
Broncos vs Bills Week 10 FAQ
When is Broncos vs Bills?
- The Broncos and Bills will collide on Monday, Nov. 13, 2023.
Where is Broncos vs Bills?
- The Broncos and Bills will play each other at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, New York.
What time does Broncos vs Bills start?
- Kickoff for the upcoming DEN vs. BUF matchup is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET.
How can I watch Broncos vs Bills?
- Broncos and Bills fans can tune in to ABC and ESPN for Monday’s matchup.
How to Bet on Broncos vs Bills
- Most reputable sportsbooks — including BetDSI — offer Broncos vs. Bills betting markets and future NFL slates.
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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