Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction, Odds, Spread & Best Bets | NFL Divisional Round Game: Detroit Playoff Journey Continues

Buccaneers vs Lions Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay is 7-2 straight up in its last nine road games vs. Detroit.
• Detroit is 7-1 straight up in its last eight home games.
• Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games.
• Detroit is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games vs. Tampa Bay.
• The total hit the Under in nine of Tampa Bay’s last 13 games as the underdog.
• The total hit the Over in seven of Detroit’s last nine games as the favorite.

Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction & Best Bet: NFC Divisional Round

The upcoming NFC Divisional tilt offers the Buccaneers a chance at revenge. They hosted the Lions at Raymond James Stadium back in Week 6 and things didn’t go as planned as Detroit picked up the 20-6 victory, holding Tampa Bay to just 251 total yards and a 16.7% (2-of-12) third-down conversion rate.

Having said that, getting revenge won’t be easy at Ford Field. While the Bucs are strong 8-1 ATS on the road, they only won five of nine road games in the regular season. Meanwhile, the Lions are almost the opposite, going 7-2 SU at 5-4 ATS at Ford Field thus far. It helps that Detroit owns the fifth-best offense with the seventh-best scoring margin at home in the league.

Even though the Buccaneers were decent on the road during the regular season, they struggled against winning teams. When it comes to away games, Tampa Bay went 2-4 SU against teams that finished the season with a winning record compared to 3-0 vs. sub-.500 teams.

Do the Buccaneers have what it takes to defeat the Lions? Tampa Bay struggled with above-.500 teams throughout the 2023 regular season.

Another thing that’s going against the Buccaneers is their inability to defend the pass. They’re surrendering 248.1 passing yards per game (27th) on a 66.4% completion rate (24th), which both jump up to 269.0 (29th) and 69.8% (26th) on the road.

The Lions’ high-flying offense  — which averages a whopping 268.6 passing yards at home (6th) — is likely licking their chops at this matchup. Detroit isn’t afraid to air out the ball and QB Jared Goff likely won’t waste any time targeting the likes of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, Josh Reynolds, and more.

The Buccaneers’ offense has its fair share of playmakers, however, the team hasn’t been inconsistent when it comes to putting up points lately. Sure, Tampa Bay scored 32 against Philadelphia in the Wild Card Round, but the team was held to only 13 and 9 points in the two games before that. In other words, time will tell if the Bucs’ last showing was indicative of their skill or if they just got lucky against an imploding Eagles team.

Oh no… A reporter asked #Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles about how the team is preparing to get acclimated to the weather in Detroit ahead of Sunday’s game.

The Lions have played in a dome for nearly 50 years. pic.twitter.com/O9cHduRKCN

— Dave Connelly (@DaveConnellySG) January 16, 2024

Anything can happen in the NFL playoffs, but the Lions have too much momentum to be slowed down. They’re playing like championship contenders — especially at Ford Field — and have a passing game that can put the Buccaneers on their heels early on. As long as Dan Campbell’s players stick to what’s been working, Detroit will send the raucous crowd home with an NFC Championship Game to look forward to next weekend.

As for the best bet, let’s go with Detroit covering the spread. Yes, the Buccaneers are 8-1 ATS on the road, but they’re also an abysmal 4-11 ATS in their last 15 meetings with the Lions, who boast a plus-8.0 average scoring margin at Ford Field. On top of that, Detroit went a perfect 4-0 ATS against the NFC South during the regular season.

After beating the Bucs by 14 points earlier this season, I’m confident that the Lions can win by at least a touchdown on Sunday.

Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction: DET wins

Best Buccaneers vs Lions NFL Bet: DET -6.5 (-110)

Get 50% up to $750 on this pick over on Bovada

Best Buccaneers vs Lions Player Prop — NFL Divisional Round Betting

After browsing Bovada’s Buccaneers vs. Lions player props, I could see Josh Reynolds recording over 38.5 receiving yards.

The ex-Texas A&M wideout was great against the Rams over the weekend, turning five catches into 80 receiving yards, meaning he’s now hit the Over on this prop in four of his last six games. The Over is also 4-3 in his last seven outings at Ford Field, where he’s finished with at least 41 receiving yards in each of his last three games.

Furthermore, the Buccaneers have bled opportunities to wide receivers all season long, surrendering the fourth-most yards on the eighth-most receptions to the position. For those wondering, Reynolds recorded 50 yards against them back in Week 6.

In one of the biggest games of his career, look for the 28-year-old playmaker to step up.

Best Buccaneers vs Lions Prop: Josh Reynolds o38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Get 50% up to $750 on this pick over on Bovada

Buccaneers vs Lions Divisional Round FAQ

When is Buccaneers vs Lions?

• The Bucs and Lions will collide on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.

Where is Buccaneers vs Lions?

• The Buccaneers and Lions will play each other at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.

What time does Buccaneers vs Lions start?

• Kickoff for the upcoming TB vs. DET matchup is slated for 3 p.m. ET.

How can I watch Buccaneers vs Lions?

• Bucs and Lions fans can tune in to NBC for Sunday afternoon’s matchup.

How to Bet on Buccaneers vs Lions

• Most reputable sportsbooks offer Buccaneers vs. Lions betting markets and future NFL slates.

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